ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City: match statistics
ATK Mohun Bagan displays an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (4/4) and an average of 3.5 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.5. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (69%) and offensive efficiency (xG 2.81 vs 0.62 xG Against), which translates to a +12 goal difference in home matches. Mumbai City, despite a decent away record (2 wins out of 2 matches), lags behind the hosts in all key parameters – averaging only 1.5 goals scored away from home with lower possession (46%) and fewer shots (13.5 vs 23.5). The difference in xG quality (2.81 vs 1.72) along with ATK Mohun Bagan's dominance in every aspect of home play suggest a clear home victory. However, the solid form of both teams (ATK: 2.6 PPG, Mumbai: 2.2 PPG) and the visitors' defensive stability (50% clean sheets) could make the match more evenly contested than the home statistics suggest, hence a moderate probability of a draw.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ATK Mohun Bagan played Mumbai City in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
ATK Mohun Bagan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mumbai City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
ATK Mohun Bagan scores 2.80 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Mumbai City scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ATK Mohun Bagan 40%, Mumbai City 60%. Over 2.5: ATK Mohun Bagan 40%, Mumbai City 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
ATK Mohun Bagan has higher xG: 2.63 vs 1.52. ATK Mohun Bagan: 22.0 shots per match, Mumbai City: 11.8.
Match halves
ATK Mohun Bagan: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.00. Mumbai City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
ATK Mohun Bagan: 31-45+ (5 goals). Mumbai City: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ATK Mohun Bagan displays an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (4/4) and an average of 3.5 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.5. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (69%) and offensive efficiency (xG 2.81 vs 0.62 xG Against), which translates to a +12 goal difference in home matches. Mumbai City, despite a decent away record (2 wins out of 2 matches), lags behind the hosts in all key parameters – averaging only 1.5 goals scored away from home with lower possession (46%) and fewer shots (13.5 vs 23.5). The difference in xG quality (2.81 vs 1.72) along with ATK Mohun Bagan's dominance in every aspect of home play suggest a clear home victory. However, the solid form of both teams (ATK: 2.6 PPG, Mumbai: 2.2 PPG) and the visitors' defensive stability (50% clean sheets) could make the match more evenly contested than the home statistics suggest, hence a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ATK Mohun Bagan | Mumbai City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - ATK Mohun Bagan · 2.2 pts / match - Mumbai City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2.8 goals / match - ATK Mohun Bagan · 1.4 goals / match - Mumbai City
ATK Mohun Bagan is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - ATK Mohun Bagan · 0.8 goals / match - Mumbai City
ATK Mohun Bagan scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Mumbai City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Mumbai City scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while ATK Mohun Bagan keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ATK Mohun Bagan
Over / Under - Mumbai City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.6 pts / match - ATK Mohun Bagan · 1.8 pts / match - Mumbai City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ATK Mohun Bagan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mumbai City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ATK Mohun Bagan
Mumbai City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| ATK Mohun Bagan | Liga | Mumbai City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.26 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): ATK Mohun Bagan 0 - 2 - 0 Mumbai City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
The Indian Super League match finished ATK Mohun Bagan 0:1 Mumbai City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Mumbai City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches ATK Mohun Bagan won 0, Mumbai City won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
ATK Mohun Bagan score 2.80 goals per game on average and Mumbai City 1.40. The Indian Super League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of ATK Mohun Bagan's matches and 60% of Mumbai City's.
What form are ATK Mohun Bagan and Mumbai City in?
Over the last 5 games ATK Mohun Bagan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mumbai City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.