Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew: match statistics
Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlanta United FC played Columbus Crew in MLS (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Atlanta United FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Columbus Crew: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlanta United FC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Columbus Crew scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlanta United FC 40%, Columbus Crew 60%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United FC 40%, Columbus Crew 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Columbus Crew has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.08. Atlanta United FC: 9.8 shots per match, Columbus Crew: 10.8.
Match halves
Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Columbus Crew: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Atlanta United FC: 61-75 (2 goals). Columbus Crew: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlanta United FC has a home defensive edge: they concede an average of 1.33 goals per home match, while Columbus concedes 2.33 on the road. Both teams score an average of 1.67 goals per game and share an identical conversion rate of 15% on an average of 11 shots per match, so the difference is primarily defensive and in clean sheets (Atlanta 33% clean sheets vs Columbus 0%). Columbus generates slightly more quality chances (xG 1.42 away vs xG 1.24 for Atlanta) and averages 4.33 shots on target versus 4 for the hosts with similar possession (56% vs 58%), but also has a higher xG against (1.31 vs 1.09), which explains the higher goals conceded rate. In the last 5 matches Atlanta averages 0.8 points per game versus 0.4 for Columbus, and the visitors have 0 away wins and a 67% away loss rate, whereas Atlanta has a positive home goal difference (+1 GD). Considering the hosts' more stable defense, higher clean sheet percentage and a slight advantage in form, I predict an Atlanta win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards BTTS - Yes, assigning a 65% probability. The primary signal is Columbus’s seasonal BTTS rate at 100% and a very high goals conceded average for Columbus: 2.33 per match, which increases the likelihood Atlanta scores. Atlanta’s home goals scored average is 0.00 with 50% clean sheets, but their home xG is 1.24 (last 5 matches xG 1.09), so they create chances despite low finishing (conversion rate 0% in the data). Both teams’ BTTS in the last 5 matches are 40% (Atlanta) and 60% (Columbus), while the league’s seasonal BTTS level is 51%, supporting a Goal/Goal scenario. Given the dominant Columbus signal (100% BTTS, 2.33 conceded) and both teams’ xG above ~1.0, the Both Teams To Score outcome is stronger than No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An indirect xG estimate gives about 1.28 for Atlanta ((1.24 + 1.31)/2 = 1.275 ≈ 1.28) and 1.21 for Columbus ((1.42 + 0.99)/2 = 1.205 ≈ 1.21), totaling 2.49 expected goals. Since 2.49 is well above the 1.5 line and the league averages 3.03 goals per match, Over 1.5 is a strong signal (Columbus has 100% of away games over 1.5, Atlanta 0%). Additionally, Columbus generates more chances (11.0 shots and 4.33 on target vs. Atlanta’s 10.5 and 3.5) and has a higher quoted shot conversion (15.0% vs. 0.0%), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. The 2.5 line is very close to the calculated total (2.49), so I give a moderate lean to Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 remains unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Columbus led at the break in 67% of their matches and averages 1.33 goals by half-time (leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 67.0, scoredAVGHT_away = 1.33, GoalsHT_away = 6.0), while Atlanta has 0.0 goals at half-time and was level at the break in 100% of their home halves (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0, drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0). Over the full match Columbus records a seasonal average of 1.67 goals scored and xG 1.42 versus Atlanta’s 0.0 goals and xG 1.24 (seasonScoredAVG_away = 1.67, xg_for_avg_away = 1.42; seasonScoredAVG_home = 0.0, xg_for_avg_home = 1.24). Atlanta additionally has a 0% conversion rate with an average of 3.5 shots on target (shot_conversion_rate_home = 0.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 3.5), which reduces the realistic chance of mounting a comeback. Columbus does concede many goals (seasonConcededAVG_away = 2.33), so a draw or losing the lead is possible, but the xG balance and efficiency (xg_for_avg_away 1.42 vs 1.24 and shot_conversion_rate_away = 15.0% vs 0.0%) point to the most likely scenario being the away side leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta United FC | Columbus Crew | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta United FC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 0.4 pts / match - Columbus Crew
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta United FC scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Columbus Crew keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Columbus Crew scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlanta United FC
Over / Under - Columbus Crew
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.8 pts / match - Columbus Crew
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta United FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Columbus Crew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta United FC | Liga | Columbus Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 61% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
The MLS match finished Atlanta United FC 1:3 Columbus Crew. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
Atlanta United FC score 1.00 goals per game on average and Columbus Crew 1.00. The MLS average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 60% of Columbus Crew's.
What form are Atlanta United FC and Columbus Crew in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Columbus Crew 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.