United States - MLSMercedes-Benz StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlanta United FC play Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Current form

Atlanta United FC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Inter Miami: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlanta United FC scores 1.24 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.41 and concedes 1.72. League average: 3.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlanta United FC 62%, Inter Miami 76%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United FC 62%, Inter Miami 76%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.41. Atlanta United FC: 13.0 shots per match, Inter Miami: 15.3.

Match halves

Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Inter Miami: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.21.

Goals by minute

Atlanta United FC: 61-75 (8 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.90)
(4.40)
(1.73)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.24Goals scored / match2.41
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.66Goals conceded / match1.72
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
51%Average possession57%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
4.1Shots on target / match6.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match15.28
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
4.1Shots on target6.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
9.5%Shot conversion15.8%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
51%Possession57%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.41xG for1.72
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.41xG against1.43
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedInter Miami: Dominant
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlanta United FC
DWDLW
Season result split
28% W21% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-15
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Inter Miami
DDLWW
Season result split
48% W34% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-5
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Miami is 94% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 2.41 goals / match - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).

Inter Miami scoring profile: very strong

Inter Miami scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

36Goals scored (season)70
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
48Goals conceded (season)50
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
2.9Average goals in match4.14
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
7Goals scored (last 5)11
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal93%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
45%2 goals72%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
10%3 goals34%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0%4 goals21%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal79%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
55%2 goals66%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
21%3 goals17%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
3%4 goals10%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
Atlanta United FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 29 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time52%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
7%BTTS in both halves24%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
31%Scored in both halves41%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS69%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
40%BTTS - last 560%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time72%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time66%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time34%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Miami is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.66 pts / match - Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
28% leading38% draw34% trailing
Inter Miami - half-time state
38% leading52% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.66
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.52Goals scored (1st half)1.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.66Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.97
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
55%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
59%No goal before half-time28%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)1.21
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
1.72Average goals (2nd half)2.17
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
41%Clean sheet after half-time34%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami
41%No goal after half-time38%
Atlanta United FCInter Miami

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

31% W24% D45% L
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inter Miami - second-half results

38% W28% D34% L
48
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.66
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Inter Miami - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
8
16-30
7
6
31-45
6
8
46-60
8
8
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Inter Miami
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
14
7
16-30
16
7
31-45
10
9
46-60
6
8
61-75
19
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Inter Miami

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaInter Miami
Average goals in match▼ 2.903.27▲ 4.14
Both teams scored▼ 62%64%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 62%64%▲ 76%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%• 21%
Goal before half-time▼ 69%78%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time• 83%82%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.27
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlanta United FC 0 - 1 - 0 Inter Miami. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami play?

Atlanta United FC face Inter Miami on 17 October 2026 in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?

Atlanta United FC score 1.24 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.41. The MLS average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 76% of Inter Miami's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inter Miami 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?

The statistical background for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.