United States - MLSData current as of 22 September 2026

Atlanta United FC vs New York City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlanta United FC vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlanta United FC play New York City in MLS (United States). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Atlanta United FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. New York City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlanta United FC scores 1.15 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. New York City scores 1.50 and concedes 1.31. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlanta United FC 62%, New York City 65%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United FC 58%, New York City 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Atlanta United FC has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.35. Atlanta United FC: 12.9 shots per match, New York City: 11.7.

Match halves

Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.69. New York City: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Atlanta United FC: 76-90+ (7 goals). New York City: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.44)
(3.73)
(2.83)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.15Goals scored / match1.5
Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.65Goals conceded / match1.31
Atlanta United FCNew York City
51%Average possession54%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
3.92Shots on target / match4.65
Atlanta United FCNew York City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.92Shots per match11.65
Atlanta United FCNew York City
3.92Shots on target4.65
Atlanta United FCNew York City
8.9%Shot conversion12.9%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
51%Possession54%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.39xG for1.35
Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.43xG against1.43
Atlanta United FCNew York City

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedNew York City: Balanced
Atlanta United FCNew York City
Accuracy (shots on target)30%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlanta United FC
LDLDW
Season result split
27% W19% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-14
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
New York City
DDLWL
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-10
1.23 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New York City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.5 goals / match - New York City

New York City is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.65 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.31 goals / match - New York City

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).

New York City scoring profile: very strong

New York City scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

30Goals scored (season)39
Atlanta United FCNew York City
43Goals conceded (season)34
Atlanta United FCNew York City
2.81Average goals in match2.81
Atlanta United FCNew York City
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Atlanta United FCNew York City
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Atlanta United FCNew York City

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal81%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
42%2 goals38%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
8%3 goals19%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0%4 goals8%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal81%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
54%2 goals35%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
19%3 goals12%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
4%4 goals4%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
Atlanta United FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 26 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time31%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
4%BTTS in both halves8%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
27%Scored in both halves31%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
40%BTTS - last 540%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York City is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.62 pts / match - New York City

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
27% leading35% draw38% trailing
New York City - half-time state
42% leading35% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)1.62
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.46
Atlanta United FCNew York City
54%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
62%No goal before half-time38%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.08
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Atlanta United FCNew York City
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Atlanta United FCNew York City
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Atlanta United FCNew York City
42%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Atlanta United FCNew York City
46%No goal after half-time50%
Atlanta United FCNew York City

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

31% W23% D46% L
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New York City - second-half results

23% W38% D38% L
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
New York City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
8
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
8
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

New York City
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
10
4
16-30
9
6
31-45
6
4
46-60
5
7
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

New York City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaNew York City
Average goals in match 2.813.21 2.81
Both teams scored 62%63% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%63% 50%
Clean sheets 12%21% 19%
Goal before half-time 69%78% 85%
Goal after half-time 81%82% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.82
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and New York City play?

Atlanta United FC face New York City on 26 September 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs New York City?

Atlanta United FC score 1.15 goals per game on average and New York City 1.50. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 65% of New York City's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and New York City in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and New York City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs New York City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.