United States - MLSMercedes-Benz StadiumData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlanta United FC vs New York RB: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlanta United FC vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlanta United FC play New York RB in MLS (United States). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Current form

Atlanta United FC: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. New York RB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlanta United FC scores 1.06 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. New York RB scores 1.61 and concedes 2.17. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlanta United FC 61%, New York RB 72%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United FC 56%, New York RB 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

New York RB has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.41. Atlanta United FC: 12.9 shots per match, New York RB: 14.1.

Match halves

Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.72. New York RB: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Atlanta United FC: 46-60 (5 goals). New York RB: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.89)
(4.11)
(3.85)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.06Goals scored / match1.61
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.83Goals conceded / match2.17
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
52%Average possession53%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
4.22Shots on target / match5.17
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.89Shots per match14.06
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
4.22Shots on target5.17
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
8.2%Shot conversion11.5%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
52%Possession53%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.41xG for1.64
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.47xG against1.57
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedNew York RB: Attacking
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York RB is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.4 pts / match - New York RB

Atlanta United FC
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-12
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
New York RB
DWLLW
Season result split
39% W22% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-7
1.39 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New York RB is 52% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.61 goals / match - New York RB

Atlanta United FC is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 2.17 goals / match - New York RB

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

New York RB scoring profile: very strong

New York RB scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

19Goals scored (season)29
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
33Goals conceded (season)39
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
2.89Average goals in match3.78
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
12Goals conceded (last 5)9
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal78%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
33%2 goals44%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
11%3 goals28%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0%4 goals11%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal94%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
61%2 goals67%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
22%3 goals28%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
6%4 goals17%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Atlanta United FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 18 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time28%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0%BTTS in both halves22%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
22%Scored in both halves33%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
60%BTTS - last 580%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York RB is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.44 pts / match - New York RB

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
22% leading39% draw39% trailing
New York RB - half-time state
39% leading28% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.44
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.67
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
56%Clean sheet before half-time39%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
72%No goal before half-time44%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)0.89
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.11Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
1.83Average goals (2nd half)2.11
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
39%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB
44%No goal after half-time44%
Atlanta United FCNew York RB

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
19
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding77%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New York RB - second-half results

22% W22% R56% P
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
New York RB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.20
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
2
6
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
5
7
61-75
3
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

New York RB
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
2
2
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
10
46-60
2
7
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

New York RB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaNew York RB
Average goals in match 2.893.22 3.78
Both teams scored 61%61% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%61% 67%
Clean sheets 6%22% 6%
Goal before half-time 61%77% 89%
Goal after half-time 83%80% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.87
Home goals / match
1.35
Away goals / match
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and New York RB play?

Atlanta United FC face New York RB on 15 August 2026 in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs New York RB?

Atlanta United FC score 1.06 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.61. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 72% of New York RB's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and New York RB in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and New York RB 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs New York RB?

The statistical background for Atlanta United FC vs New York RB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.