United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 06 September 2026

Atlanta United II vs Connecticut United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlanta United II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlanta United II play Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 8 September 2026.

Current form

Atlanta United II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Connecticut United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlanta United II scores 2.12 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 2.04 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlanta United II 64%, Connecticut United 80%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United II 68%, Connecticut United 84%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Atlanta United II has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.66. Atlanta United II: 16.4 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.2.

Match halves

Atlanta United II: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.28. Connecticut United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Atlanta United II: 76-90+ (13 goals). Connecticut United: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
2.12Goals scored / match2.04
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
1.56Goals conceded / match1.8
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
51%Average possession44%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
5.96Shots on target / match5.92
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.36Shots per match13.2
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
5.96Shots on target5.92
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
13%Shot conversion15.5%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
51%Possession44%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
1.87xG for1.66
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
1.44xG against1.35
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

Shooting quality

Atlanta United II: AttackingConnecticut United: Counter-attacking
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
Accuracy (shots on target)36%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connecticut United is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 1.8 pts / match - Connecticut United

Atlanta United II
LLWWD
Season result split
48% W20% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-8
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Connecticut United
LWWWL
Season result split
52% W8% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-10
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-4
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlanta United II is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Atlanta United II · 1.8 goals / match - Connecticut United

Atlanta United II scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United II scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Atlanta United II keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

53Goals scored (season)51
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
39Goals conceded (season)45
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
3.68Average goals in match3.84
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
9Goals scored (last 5)12
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal88%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
60%2 goals64%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
40%3 goals36%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
20%4 goals16%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal88%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
48%2 goals64%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
20%3 goals16%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
4%4 goals12%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Atlanta United II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 25 matches
80%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 25 matches
62%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
8%BTTS in both halves12%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
36%Scored in both halves52%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
80%BTTS - last 580%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlanta United II is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 1.44 pts / match - Connecticut United

Atlanta United II - half-time state
44% leading24% draw32% trailing
Connecticut United - half-time state
36% leading36% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.44
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
0.84Goals scored (1st half)1
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.72
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
52%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
40%No goal before half-time28%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.36
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
1.28Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
2.12Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
40%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United
44%No goal after half-time36%
Atlanta United IIConnecticut United

Atlanta United II - second-half results

40% W24% R36% P
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connecticut United - second-half results

36% W28% R36% P
36
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Connecticut United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlanta United II
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
7
1
16-30
9
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
9
6
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
8
8
16-30
11
8
31-45
5
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlanta United II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United IILigaConnecticut United
Average goals in match 3.683.34 3.84
Both teams scored 64%62% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%67% 84%
Clean sheets 16%21% 12%
Goal before half-time 88%76% 84%
Goal after half-time 92%85% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlanta United II and Connecticut United play?

Atlanta United II face Connecticut United on 8 September 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United II vs Connecticut United?

Atlanta United II score 2.12 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 2.04. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Atlanta United II's matches and 80% of Connecticut United's.

What form are Atlanta United II and Connecticut United in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Connecticut United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United II vs Connecticut United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlanta United II vs Connecticut United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.