Atlanta United II vs Orlando City II: match statistics
Atlanta United II vs Orlando City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlanta United II played Orlando City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Atlanta United II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Orlando City II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlanta United II scores 2.04 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Orlando City II scores 1.87 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlanta United II 61%, Orlando City II 78%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United II 70%, Orlando City II 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta United II has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.65. Atlanta United II: 16.4 shots per match, Orlando City II: 13.5.
Match halves
Atlanta United II: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.17. Orlando City II: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Atlanta United II: 76-90+ (10 goals). Orlando City II: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlanta United II hold a clear home advantage: they average 2.55 goals scored with an xG of 1.94, while Orlando City II score 1.42 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.34 xG. The hosts also register significantly more shots—17.09 per match compared with their opponents’ 10.58—and average 6.45 shots on target versus Orlando’s 4.33. Both teams are in poor form, but Atlanta have picked up 4 points from their last five matches, whereas Orlando have taken just 1 point and scored only 3 goals. Neither defence is particularly solid, with the hosts conceding 1.73 goals per home match and the visitors 1.67 away, while Orlando fail to score in as many as 25% of their away fixtures. Given Atlanta’s 55% home win rate and Orlando’s negative goal difference on the road, a home victory appears more likely, although the match should produce goals at both ends.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is primarily driven by Atlanta United II’s very weak defence, which has kept no clean sheets all season and concedes an average of 2.00 goals per match. Orlando City II have averaged 1.42 goals per game this season, while Atlanta allow opponents an xG of 1.74, giving the visitors a realistic route to goal despite their weaker recent form. The hosts should respond offensively: they score an average of 2.36 goals, generate an xG of 1.99 and register 7.55 shots on target per match, while Orlando concede an average of 1.67 goals. Season-long BTTS stands at as high as 91% for Atlanta and 67% for Orlando, clearly above the league figure of 61%. Caution is warranted due to the visitors’ lower attacking efficiency in their last five matches, during which they scored just 3 goals and recorded BTTS in 40% of games. However, their opponents conceded 2.00 goals per match over that period, so a Goal/Goal scenario remains more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlanta United II averages 2.36 goals scored per game this season, while Orlando City II concedes 1.67, creating favorable conditions for a high-scoring home performance. Both defenses are vulnerable: Atlanta concedes an average of 2.00 goals, while Orlando has allowed 2.20 in its last five matches. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 91% of Atlanta’s matches and 92% of Orlando’s games, while neither team has kept a clean sheet in more than 8% of their appearances. Although Orlando has scored only 3 goals in its last five fixtures, the hosts have allowed opponents an average of 2.00 goals, which is why Over 1.5 goals has by far the strongest statistical backing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Atlanta United II win at full-time, as the hosts were leading at the break in 40% of their last five matches, while Orlando City II were trailing at that stage in 50%. Atlanta create significantly more chances, with average xG of 1.99 compared with the visitors’ 1.34, while the hosts average 7.55 shots on target per match against 4.33 for their opponents. The second half is crucial: Atlanta score an average of 1.45 goals and win the second half in 55% of their matches, whereas Orlando are losing after the break in 45% of their games. The visitors are also in poor form, having failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring only 0.6 goals per game and suffering four defeats.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta United II | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta United II is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 0.2 pts / match - Orlando City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta United II is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - Atlanta United II · 1.87 goals / match - Orlando City II
Atlanta United II is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Atlanta United II · 1.83 goals / match - Orlando City II
Atlanta United II scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Orlando City II scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Atlanta United II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlanta United II
Over / Under - Orlando City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta United II is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 0.96 pts / match - Orlando City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta United II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlanta United II
Orlando City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta United II | Liga | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.65 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlanta United II 1 - 1 - 2 Orlando City II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta United II vs Orlando City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Atlanta United II 5:1 Orlando City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta United II and Orlando City II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 1, Orlando City II won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United II vs Orlando City II?
Atlanta United II score 2.04 goals per game on average and Orlando City II 1.87. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlanta United II's matches and 78% of Orlando City II's.
What form are Atlanta United II and Orlando City II in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta United II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Orlando City II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United II vs Orlando City II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.