Atlanta United II vs Toronto II: match statistics
Atlanta United II vs Toronto II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlanta United II play Toronto II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlanta United II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Toronto II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlanta United II scores 2.11 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Toronto II scores 1.58 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlanta United II 56%, Toronto II 58%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United II 67%, Toronto II 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta United II has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.27. Atlanta United II: 16.9 shots per match, Toronto II: 10.1.
Match halves
Atlanta United II: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.33. Toronto II: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Atlanta United II: 76-90+ (9 goals). Toronto II: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Atlanta United II holds a clear offensive edge at home: averaging 2.67 goals per match and 18 shots (6.83 on target), with home xG of 2.05, while Toronto II averages 1.38 goals on the road and 10.38 shots (4.5 on target) with xG 1.27. The difference in chance quality is also visible in conversion rates and trends: Atlanta posts a 15% conversion rate and fails to score in only 17% of home matches, whereas Toronto converts at 13% and is shut out in 50% of away games. Defensively the home side is favored as well — Atlanta concedes 1.83 goals at home with opponent xG 1.23, while Toronto concedes 2.00 goals away with opponent xG 1.83; in the last 5 matches both teams have leaked many goals (Atlanta 12, Toronto 14), but the hosts compensate with a higher goals-for (Atlanta 13 vs Toronto 7). Additionally, Atlanta has a 50% home win rate versus Toronto’s 25% away win rate, and table positions 14 vs 17 confirm a marginal home advantage. For these reasons I expect the home side’s greater activity and superior xG to translate into an Atlanta United II victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta United II | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta United II is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 0.6 pts / match - Toronto II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta United II is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
2.11 goals / match - Atlanta United II · 1.58 goals / match - Toronto II
Atlanta United II is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Atlanta United II · 1.89 goals / match - Toronto II
Atlanta United II scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Toronto II scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlanta United II keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlanta United II
Over / Under — Toronto II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta United II is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Atlanta United II · 1.47 pts / match - Toronto II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta United II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlanta United II
Toronto II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta United II | Liga | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlanta United II 1 - 0 - 0 Toronto II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta United II vs Toronto II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Atlanta United II 1:0 Toronto II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United II vs Toronto II?
Atlanta United II score 2.11 goals per game on average and Toronto II 1.58. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlanta United II's matches and 58% of Toronto II's.
What form are Atlanta United II and Toronto II in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta United II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Toronto II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United II vs Toronto II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlanta United II vs Toronto II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.