Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
Atlanta shows solid form at home with a record of 67% home wins and just 0% losses this season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.54, and an impressive defense with 67% clean sheets and an average of just 0.33 goals conceded. Ferro Carril Oeste has a balanced away record (33% wins, draws, and losses), but their average xG of 1.16 in away matches is lower than the hosts' xG, suggesting less offensive potential. Additionally, the visitors have poorer recent overall form with only 1 point per game in their last five matches. Considering Atlanta's home advantage, their better form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlanta played Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Atlanta: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ferro Carril Oeste: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlanta scores 1.00 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.00 and concedes 1.20. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlanta 40%, Ferro Carril Oeste 60%. Over 2.5: Atlanta 40%, Ferro Carril Oeste 20%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.37. Atlanta: 10.6 shots per match, Ferro Carril Oeste: 11.8.
Match halves
Atlanta: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Atlanta: 76-90+ (2 goals). Ferro Carril Oeste: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlanta shows solid form at home with a record of 67% home wins and just 0% losses this season. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency at home, averaging 1.33 goals per match with a favorable xG of 1.54, and an impressive defense with 67% clean sheets and an average of just 0.33 goals conceded. Ferro Carril Oeste has a balanced away record (33% wins, draws, and losses), but their average xG of 1.16 in away matches is lower than the hosts' xG, suggesting less offensive potential. Additionally, the visitors have poorer recent overall form with only 1 point per game in their last five matches. Considering Atlanta's home advantage, their better form, and xG statistics, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data suggests an elevated risk of goals from both sides: Atlanta has 0% clean sheets and concedes 1.5 goals on average, while Ferro has 0% no-goal matches this season with an average of 1.33 goals scored. On the other hand, Atlanta has a low goal average (0.5), but creates numerous chances (xG for 1.98, 16 shots and 4 on target per match), indicating breakthrough potential despite a very poor conversion rate (3%). Ferro's defense is not solid (xG against 1.38; 1.0 goal conceded on average), which supports the scenario that the hosts will score at least one goal. BTTS percentages are above the league average (Atlanta 50%, Ferro 67% vs 42% in the league), and over the last 5 matches, they stand at 40% and 60% respectively. The sum of signals (Ferro's likely goals + Atlanta's increasing chance creation) slightly tilts the forecast towards BTTS - Yes, although the margin is moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model suggests a moderate number of goals: Atlanta generates high xG (1.98), but has very poor efficiency (3%) and a low average goal output (0.5), so I adjust their offensive potential downward. Ferro has solid shooting parameters (xG 1.16) and a high conversion rate (15%), and Atlanta does not keep clean sheets (0%), which increases the visitors' chances of scoring. At the same time, the seasonal profile of both teams is clearly 'under': Atlanta has 100% under 2.5 and 100% under 3.5, while Ferro has 67% under 2.5 and 100% under 3.5. The B Nacional league is low-scoring (average 1.88 goals, only 32% over 2.5), which further supports a scenario of a maximum of 3 goals. Therefore, the strongest signal from the data is the Under 3.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT signal is a draw: in the last 5 matches, Atlanta went into halftime level in as many as 80% of cases, and their average goals scored by HT (0.6) and conceded (0.2) indicates a cautious, defensive start. Ferro has often been losing at the break in their last 5 matches (60%) and has a low scoredAVGHT (0.2), which further reduces the chance of a clear away lead in the first half. The league is low-scoring (averaging 1.88 goals per match) and has a high percentage of clean sheets (74%), which statistically favors draw scenarios, particularly 0-0/1-1. For FT, Ferro's quality advantage (PPG 1.33 vs 0.5; shot conversion 15% vs 3%) is balanced by Atlanta's superiority in chance creation (xG_for 1.98; 16 shots per match) and improved form (last5 PPG 1.4). The sum of this data paints the most likely picture of the match as evenly balanced, with a draw at halftime and no decisive outcome after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlanta | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlanta · 1 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Atlanta · 1.2 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlanta
Over / Under - Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Atlanta · 0.8 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlanta | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.80 | 1.85 | ▲ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 42% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlanta 2 - 0 - 0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlanta 0:1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2, Ferro Carril Oeste won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlanta's matches and 60% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games Atlanta have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.