Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Atlante holds a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 50% of their home matches with only 20% losses and an impressive goal difference of +12. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, backed by a high xG (2.35) and ball possession dominance (63%). Atlético Zacatepec performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game with an xG Against of 1.52, indicating defensive issues. The visitors have only a 33% win rate away from home and a goal difference of -2, confirming their struggles in away fixtures. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts, who, despite a poorer overall run, are much more effective in home games. Considering all statistics, an Atlante victory is the most likely scenario.
Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlante played Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlante: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlante scores 1.95 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.16 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlante 45%, Atlético Zacatepec 58%. Over 2.5: Atlante 50%, Atlético Zacatepec 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.30. Atlante: 16.9 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 11.3.
Match halves
Atlante: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.05. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Atlante: 31-45+ (11 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante holds a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 50% of their home matches with only 20% losses and an impressive goal difference of +12. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match at home, backed by a high xG (2.35) and ball possession dominance (63%). Atlético Zacatepec performs significantly worse in away matches, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game with an xG Against of 1.52, indicating defensive issues. The visitors have only a 33% win rate away from home and a goal difference of -2, confirming their struggles in away fixtures. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts, who, despite a poorer overall run, are much more effective in home games. Considering all statistics, an Atlante victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlante | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Zacatepec is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Atlante · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Atlante · 1.16 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Atlante is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Atlante · 1.68 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Atlante scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlante
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Atlante · 1.11 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlante
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlante | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.90 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlante 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlante 1:0 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Atlante score 1.95 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.16. The Ascenso MX average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Atlante's matches and 58% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Atlante and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Atlante have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The statistical background for Atlante vs Atlético Zacatepec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.