Atlante vs Toluca: match statistics
Atlante vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlante played Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlante: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Toluca: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlante scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Toluca scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlante 100%, Toluca 67%. Over 2.5: Atlante 67%, Toluca 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.19. Atlante: 10.3 shots per match, Toluca: 19.0.
Match halves
Atlante: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Toluca: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Atlante: 46-60 (2 goals). Toluca: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca come into this match in better form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals in that run, while Atlante have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, conceding as many as 9 goals. The visitors have won 100% of their away matches, averaging 2 goals scored and none conceded, whereas Atlante have only drawn at home so far, averaging 1 goal scored. Toluca’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.79 compared with Atlante’s 0.95, while shots on target average 9 to 4 per match. The hosts allow opponents a high xG of 2.18, which, combined with Toluca’s 14 shots per away match, suggests that the visitors should create more clear-cut chances. Atlante could still find the net, as they have yet to fail to score in a home match, but a Toluca win is the more likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Atlante has recorded BTTS - Yes in 60% of its last five matches and has conceded an average of 1.8 goals during this period, which supports the likelihood of Toluca scoring. Toluca has averaged 1.8 goals per match across its last five games, generating a high 2.46 xG, while Atlante’s defence allows opponents 1.76 xG. However, the hosts create an average of just 1.21 xG and have scored 6 goals in their last five matches, while Toluca kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 5 fixtures, so Atlante’s goal is not certain. Over the course of the season, Atlante scores 2.0 goals per home game, while Toluca averages as many as 9 shots on target, making the BTTS - Yes scenario marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Toluca have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last five matches, with a very high xG of 2.46, while Atlante have conceded 1.8 goals during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.76. The hosts have a weaker offensive outlook: their average xG across the last five games stands at 1.21, whereas Toluca have allowed their opponents just 0.8 goals and 0.94 xG. Both teams had at least three goals in 60% of their matches over their last five appearances, making the 2.5-goal line relatively balanced. At the same time, Toluca have kept a clean sheet in every away match so far, and neither team has been involved in a game featuring five or more goals. The projected total of 2.65 goals points to the clearest edge being on the Under 3.5 goals side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toluca are in clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Atlante have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The visitors led at the break in 80% of their last five matches and were not behind in any of them after 45 minutes. However, a level score at half-time remains a realistic possibility, as Atlante average just 0.4 first-half goals. After the break, Toluca average 0.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, whereas the hosts concede as many as 1.4 goals per match in this period. In addition, Toluca have won 60% of their recent matches, compared with 40% for Atlante, and their average attacking xG stands at 1.79. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore a draw at half-time followed by a Toluca victory, as their more stable defence and greater second-half efficiency should allow them to win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlante | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toluca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Atlante · 2 pts / match - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Atlante · 2 goals / match - Toluca
Toluca is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Atlante · 1 goals / match - Toluca
Atlante scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Toluca scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlante
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Atlante · 3 pts / match - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlante
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlante | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlante vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Atlante 0:0 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlante vs Toluca?
Atlante score 1.67 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.00. The Liga MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Atlante's matches and 67% of Toluca's.
What form are Atlante and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Atlante have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Toluca 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlante vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Atlante vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.