Mexico - Liga MXEstadio BanorteData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlante vs Toluca: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlante vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlante play Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte.

Current form

Atlante: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Toluca: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlante scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Toluca scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlante 100%, Toluca 67%. Over 2.5: Atlante 67%, Toluca 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Toluca has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.19. Atlante: 10.3 shots per match, Toluca: 19.0.

Match halves

Atlante: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Toluca: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Atlante: 46-60 (2 goals). Toluca: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.47)
(3.94)
(1.57)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match2
AtlanteToluca
1.67Goals conceded / match1
AtlanteToluca
38%Average possession67%
AtlanteToluca
4.67Shots on target / match7
AtlanteToluca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match19
AtlanteToluca
4.67Shots on target7
AtlanteToluca
16.1%Shot conversion10.5%
AtlanteToluca
38%Possession67%
AtlanteToluca
1.19xG for2.14
AtlanteToluca
1.86xG against1.03
AtlanteToluca

Shooting quality

Atlante: Counter-attackingToluca: Dominant
AtlanteToluca
Accuracy (shots on target)45%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Toluca is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / match - Atlante · 2 pts / match - Toluca

Atlante
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Toluca
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.14Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Atlante · 2 goals / match - Toluca

Toluca is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Atlante · 1 goals / match - Toluca

Atlante scoring profile: very strong

Atlante scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)6
AtlanteToluca
5Goals conceded (season)3
AtlanteToluca
3.33Average goals in match3
AtlanteToluca
5Goals scored (last 5)6
AtlanteToluca
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
AtlanteToluca

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AtlanteToluca
33%2 goals67%
AtlanteToluca
33%3 goals33%
AtlanteToluca
0%4 goals0%
AtlanteToluca

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
AtlanteToluca
67%2 goals33%
AtlanteToluca
0%3 goals0%
AtlanteToluca
0%4 goals0%
AtlanteToluca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AtlanteToluca
33%Scored in both halves67%
AtlanteToluca

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AtlanteToluca
100%BTTS - last 567%
AtlanteToluca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
AtlanteToluca

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AtlanteToluca
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AtlanteToluca
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AtlanteToluca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Atlante · 3 pts / match - Toluca

Atlante - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Toluca - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)3
AtlanteToluca
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
AtlanteToluca
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
AtlanteToluca
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.67
AtlanteToluca
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AtlanteToluca
67%No goal before half-time0%
AtlanteToluca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)2
AtlanteToluca
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
AtlanteToluca
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
AtlanteToluca
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
AtlanteToluca
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AtlanteToluca
0%No goal after half-time33%
AtlanteToluca

Atlante - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toluca - second-half results

67% W0% R33% P
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlante - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.33
Goals scored / match0.31.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.3
Average goals in match0.72.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Toluca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.00
Goals scored / match1.30.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.7
Average goals in match1.71.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal0%33%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

AtlanteLigaToluca
Average goals in match 3.332.89 3.00
Both teams scored 100%59% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%59% 67%
Clean sheets 0%22% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%70% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.52
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlante and Toluca play?

Atlante face Toluca on 15 August 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Banorte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlante vs Toluca?

Atlante score 1.67 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.00. The Liga MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Atlante's matches and 67% of Toluca's.

What form are Atlante and Toluca in?

Over the last 5 games Atlante have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Toluca 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlante vs Toluca?

The statistical background for Atlante vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.