Atlas vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Atlas vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlas played Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Guadalajara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlas scores 1.60 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.70 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlas 70%, Guadalajara 40%. Over 2.5: Atlas 50%, Guadalajara 40%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.43. Atlas: 13.0 shots per match, Guadalajara: 14.6.
Match halves
Atlas: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Guadalajara: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Atlas: 0-15 (4 goals). Guadalajara: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara look to be the favourites: they have picked up 8 points from their last five matches, compared with Atlas's 5, with respective goal differences of 9:5 and 8:12. Away from home, Guadalajara average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Atlas score 1.0 and concede 1.6 per home game. Guadalajara also create slightly better chances, posting an away xG of 1.53 compared with Atlas's 1.36 at home, and their average number of shots on target is markedly higher: 5.4 to 2.8. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five away matches, but three draws in that run mean the points could still be shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for both teams to score is Atlas’s recent form: BTTS has landed in each of their last 5 matches, with the team conceding an average of 2.4 goals. Guadalajara averaged 1.8 goals over that period, giving them a solid basis to exploit the hosts’ defensive problems. Atlas should also have chances to score: their average xG is 1.95, while Guadalajara allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.32 xG. The forecast is tempered by the fact that BTTS has landed in only 20% of Atlas’s home matches so far, while the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Even so, Atlas’s recent run and the attacking potential of both sides point towards BTTS - Yes, although the edge for this outcome is not substantial.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The pick is Over 1.5 goals, as 80% of matches involving each team finished above this line, with the match forecast at a combined 2.7 goals. Atlas average 1.8 goals per game and Guadalajara 1.6; their average xG of 1.95 and 1.53, respectively, suggests that both teams create chances regularly. Atlas conceded an average of 2.4 goals over their last five matches, boosting the visitors’ chances, with Guadalajara scoring 1.8 goals per game over the same period. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable: only 40% of matches involving either team cleared it over the season, although that figure rose to 60% in each team’s last five matches. Therefore, the two-goal threshold offers a stronger signal than backing at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Guadalajara leading at the break: the visitors did so in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Atlas were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 5. Over this period, Guadalajara averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before the break, while Atlas averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Guadalajara are more likely to maintain their lead than to suffer a turnaround, as the visitors have conceded an average of 1.0 goals per match in their last 5 games, compared with 2.4 goals conceded by the hosts. The risk of a draw remains significant—Guadalajara have drawn 60% of their matches over the season—but the visitors’ advantage before half-time and Atlas’s weaker recent defensive record most strongly support Guadalajara leading both at half-time and at full-time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guadalajara is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Atlas · 1.6 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Atlas · 1.7 goals / match - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Atlas · 1 goals / match - Guadalajara
Atlas scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Atlas · 1.7 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlas
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlas 0 - 0 - 2 Guadalajara. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:1 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlas won 0, Guadalajara won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas score 1.60 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.70. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Atlas's matches and 40% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlas and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Guadalajara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Atlas vs Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.