Atlas vs Mazatlán: match statistics
Atlas clearly outperforms Mazatlán in terms of form and efficiency at home. The hosts boast a 44% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1), while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% wins) and have a disastrous goal difference of -9. Mazatlán has earned zero points in the last five matches (PPG 0.2), conceding as many as 11 goals, confirming a nine-match away losing streak. Atlas has scored an average of 1.78 goals per home game, while Mazatlán has managed only 0.67 goals per away game and failed to score in 56% of their matches. The home side's advantage in ball possession (40% vs 44%) is marginal, but their far superior shot conversion (16% vs 8%) and recent form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.2 PPG) strongly favor Atlas.
Atlas vs Mazatlán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlas played Mazatlán in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mazatlán: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlas scores 1.30 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Mazatlán scores 1.15 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlas 50%, Mazatlán 75%. Over 2.5: Atlas 50%, Mazatlán 65%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Mazatlán has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.04. Atlas: 9.8 shots per match, Mazatlán: 9.1.
Match halves
Atlas: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.55. Mazatlán: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Atlas: 0-15 (6 goals). Mazatlán: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlas clearly outperforms Mazatlán in terms of form and efficiency at home. The hosts boast a 44% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1), while the visitors have not won any away match this season (0% wins) and have a disastrous goal difference of -9. Mazatlán has earned zero points in the last five matches (PPG 0.2), conceding as many as 11 goals, confirming a nine-match away losing streak. Atlas has scored an average of 1.78 goals per home game, while Mazatlán has managed only 0.67 goals per away game and failed to score in 56% of their matches. The home side's advantage in ball possession (40% vs 44%) is marginal, but their far superior shot conversion (16% vs 8%) and recent form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.2 PPG) strongly favor Atlas.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlas is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlas · 0.2 pts / match - Mazatlán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlas is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Atlas · 1.15 goals / match - Mazatlán
Atlas scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
Mazatlán scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Mazatlán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Atlas · 0.85 pts / match - Mazatlán
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlas
Mazatlán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.95 | • 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlas 0 - 1 - 0 Mazatlán. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Mazatlán?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:0 Mazatlán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Mazatlán?
Atlas score 1.30 goals per game on average and Mazatlán 1.15. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlas's matches and 75% of Mazatlán's.
What form are Atlas and Mazatlán in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mazatlán 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Mazatlán?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlas vs Mazatlán: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


