Atlas vs Monterrey: match statistics
Atlas vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlas played Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Atlas: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Monterrey: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlas scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Monterrey scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlas 50%, Monterrey 100%. Over 2.5: Atlas 50%, Monterrey 100%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Monterrey has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.37. Atlas: 10.0 shots per match, Monterrey: 12.5.
Match halves
Atlas: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Monterrey: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Atlas: 61-75 (2 goals). Monterrey: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlas is a slight favorite based on recent data: in the last 5 matches they scored 7 goals and won 3 games, averaging 1.8 points per match, while Monterrey also has 7 goals in five matches but only 2 wins and 1.2 points per match. The biggest edge for the home side is defensively — Monterrey conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and on average 2.0 goals in away matches, whereas Atlas conceded 6 goals in five games (1.2 per game) and has only 2 goals conceded in the overall season. Quality of chances is reflected by xG: Monterrey away posts an average xG for 0.72 with xG against 2.18, indicating the visitors generate few high-value opportunities and are exposed to conceding. Additionally Monterrey travels with low possession (35%), averaging 6 shots and 2 on target per match and a conversion rate of 17%, which translates to about 1.0 goal per game — the visitors’ offense is thus dependent on finishing from a small number of chances. Considering higher PPG for the hosts (1.8 vs 1.2), superior defense and the fact Monterrey has a 100% loss rate in their away fixtures so far, I predict an Atlas win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS is that both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Atlas 100% and Monterrey 100%) and both sides record Over 2.5 in 100% of matches, indicating repeatability of games with goals at both ends. Atlas shows a significant attacking edge: season goals average 3.0 versus Monterrey 1.0, xG 2.44 versus 0.72 and on average 13 shots on target versus 2 for Monterrey, so Atlas is most likely to be the initiator of goals. Monterrey, despite low xG and only 2 shots on target on average, has BTTS at 80% in the last 5 matches and averages 1.4 goals scored while conceding 2.2 goals on average, which shows they can still get on the scoresheet. Additionally, the season average goals conceded for both teams is 2.0 each, and the league BTTS rate is 61%, further supporting the mutually scoring scenario. Considering the absolutely dominant season 100% BTTS for both teams and the countering but weaker signal of Monterrey's low xG, I forecast BTTS - Yes with a probability of 85% versus 15% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlas scores an average of 3.0 goals at home with xG 2.44, while Monterrey scores on average 1.0 goal per match with xG 0.72. Monterrey concedes 2.18 xG per match and Atlas’s defense concedes 1.15 xG, so the averages (2.44+2.18)/2≈2.31 for Atlas and (0.72+1.15)/2≈0.94 for Monterrey yield a combined value of about 3.25 goals. Atlas averages 13 shots on target versus 2 for Monterrey, and seasonal metrics show 100% of matches for both teams over 2.5 goals, which further strengthens the over signal. Therefore the strongest pick is Over at the 2.5 line (high probability of hitting); Over 1.5 is almost certain, while Over 3.5 is less certain — I estimate approximately 46% for Over 3.5 and 54% for Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlas has an xG of 2.44 versus Monterrey’s 0.72 and averages 13 shots on target compared to 2, indicating a clear offensive advantage for the home side. Over the season Atlas averages 3.0 goals and 3.0 points per match (100% win rate), while Monterrey averages 1.0 goal and 0.0 points (0% win rate), which significantly increases Atlas’s chances of a full-time victory. At half-time Atlas led in 100% of seasonal observations and averages 3.0 goals by the break compared to 0.0 for Monterrey (GoalsHT 4 vs 0), so the highest probability is for the home team to be leading after 45 minutes. Although in the last 5 matches Monterrey has a 40% overall win rate and led at half-time in 60% of games (last5_winPercentage_overall_away 40%, last5_leadingAtHTPercentage_overall_away 60%), both teams have a season-long BTTS of 100% and the xG disparity and 13 SOT vs 2 SOT still favor Atlas maintaining the advantage. As a result I select 1/1 (Atlas leading at half-time and winning full-time) as the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 60% | 60% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Atlas · 1.5 pts / match - Monterrey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlas is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Atlas · 2 goals / match - Monterrey
Atlas scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Monterrey scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlas
Over / Under — Monterrey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Atlas · 2 pts / match - Monterrey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlas
Monterrey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.86 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlas 0 - 1 - 1 Monterrey. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Monterrey?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 0:2 Monterrey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Monterrey?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlas won 0, Monterrey won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Monterrey?
Atlas score 2.00 goals per game on average and Monterrey 2.00. The Liga MX average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlas's matches and 100% of Monterrey's.
What form are Atlas and Monterrey in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Monterrey 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Monterrey?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.