Atlas vs Puebla: match statistics
Atlas presents solid home form with 38% wins and just 25% losses at their own stadium, constituting a significant advantage over the visitors. Puebla has a disastrous away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins, conceding an average of 2.56 goals per match, which indicates serious defensive issues. The disparity in goal difference is clear—Atlas has a neutral balance at home (0), while Puebla sits at -13 on the road, confirming their weakness in away fixtures. Recent form for both teams is mixed; however, Atlas's home advantage combined with Puebla's away frailty favors the hosts. Although Puebla has shown better form in the last 5 matches overall (1.4 PPG vs Atlas's 0.8 PPG), their away streak remains very poor, giving Atlas a real chance to take the full three points.
Atlas vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlas played Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlas: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Puebla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlas scores 1.41 and concedes 2.06 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.24 and concedes 2.47. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlas 59%, Puebla 59%. Over 2.5: Atlas 59%, Puebla 71%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Puebla has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.07. Atlas: 9.9 shots per match, Puebla: 11.7.
Match halves
Atlas: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65. Puebla: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Atlas: 0-15 (5 goals). Puebla: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlas presents solid home form with 38% wins and just 25% losses at their own stadium, constituting a significant advantage over the visitors. Puebla has a disastrous away record with 67% losses and only 11% wins, conceding an average of 2.56 goals per match, which indicates serious defensive issues. The disparity in goal difference is clear—Atlas has a neutral balance at home (0), while Puebla sits at -13 on the road, confirming their weakness in away fixtures. Recent form for both teams is mixed; however, Atlas's home advantage combined with Puebla's away frailty favors the hosts. Although Puebla has shown better form in the last 5 matches overall (1.4 PPG vs Atlas's 0.8 PPG), their away streak remains very poor, giving Atlas a real chance to take the full three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puebla is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlas · 1.4 pts / match - Puebla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlas is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Atlas · 1.24 goals / match - Puebla
Atlas is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.06 goals / match - Atlas · 2.47 goals / match - Puebla
Atlas scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Puebla scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlas
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlas is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Atlas · 0.65 pts / match - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlas
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlas | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 23% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlas 1 - 0 - 0 Puebla. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlas vs Puebla?
The Liga MX match finished Atlas 1:0 Puebla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Puebla?
Atlas score 1.41 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.24. The Liga MX average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Atlas's matches and 59% of Puebla's.
What form are Atlas and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Puebla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Puebla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.