Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an average of as many as 3.5 goals scored per match at home. The hosts dominate possession (55%) and show high shot efficiency (28%), which translates into an offensive advantage confirmed by an average xG of 1.56. Deportes Tolima plays defensively in away matches (37% possession), shoots rarely (6.33 shots per match), and has a low xG coefficient (0.73), although they are capable of keeping a clean sheet (67% CS%). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but Bucaramanga's decided advantage in offensive play at their own stadium and Tolima's weakness in creating chances away speak for a confident victory for the hosts. The goal difference (+6 for the hosts at home vs +2 for the visitors away) further confirms this forecast.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Bucaramanga played Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 60%, Deportes Tolima 20%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 60%, Deportes Tolima 20%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Bucaramanga has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.06. Atlético Bucaramanga: 11.0 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 9.2.
Match halves
Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (4 goals). Deportes Tolima: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an average of as many as 3.5 goals scored per match at home. The hosts dominate possession (55%) and show high shot efficiency (28%), which translates into an offensive advantage confirmed by an average xG of 1.56. Deportes Tolima plays defensively in away matches (37% possession), shoots rarely (6.33 shots per match), and has a low xG coefficient (0.73), although they are capable of keeping a clean sheet (67% CS%). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but Bucaramanga's decided advantage in offensive play at their own stadium and Tolima's weakness in creating chances away speak for a confident victory for the hosts. The goal difference (+6 for the hosts at home vs +2 for the visitors away) further confirms this forecast.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.6 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.2 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 0.6 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.8 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.37 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético Bucaramanga 1 - 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 1, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Bucaramanga score 2.00 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.20. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 20% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.