Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Alfonso LópezData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Bucaramanga play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 17 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Alfonso López.

Current form

Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.39 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.28 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 52%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 48%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Bucaramanga has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.26. Atlético Bucaramanga: 13.0 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 11.6.

Match halves

Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.70. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (8 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.58)
(3.40)
(5.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.39Goals scored / match1.28
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.04Goals conceded / match1.48
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
52%Average possession52%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
4.22Shots on target / match3.72
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.04Shots per match11.6
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
4.22Shots on target3.72
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
10.7%Shot conversion11%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
52%Possession52%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.4xG for1.26
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.06xG against1.35
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Shooting quality

Atlético Bucaramanga: BalancedDeportivo Pasto: Balanced
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Bucaramanga
LWDDW
Season result split
30% W43% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-10-6
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Pasto
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
40% W16% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-11
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.39 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.28 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Bucaramanga is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.04 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.48 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Bucaramanga scoring profile: strong

Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).

Deportivo Pasto scoring profile: strong

Deportivo Pasto scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

32Goals scored (season)32
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
24Goals conceded (season)37
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
2.43Average goals in match2.76
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal72%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
35%2 goals44%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
17%3 goals12%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
9%4 goals0%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal72%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
39%2 goals52%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0%3 goals16%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0%4 goals8%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
Atlético Bucaramanga - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 23 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time24%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
13%BTTS in both halves4%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
26%Scored in both halves28%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
80%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Pasto is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.36 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Bucaramanga - half-time state
22% leading57% draw22% trailing
Deportivo Pasto - half-time state
32% leading40% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.36
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.28
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
48%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
52%No goal before half-time48%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.04
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.84
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.48
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
52%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
52%No goal after half-time52%
Atlético BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results

22% W57% R22% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Deportivo Pasto - second-half results

20% W44% R36% P
34
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Bucaramanga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Deportivo Pasto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.00
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Bucaramanga
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
6
4
16-30
8
6
31-45
4
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Pasto
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
6
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
10
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Bucaramanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Deportivo Pasto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético BucaramangaLigaDeportivo Pasto
Average goals in match 2.432.54 2.76
Both teams scored 52%52% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%47% 52%
Clean sheets 35%27% 28%
Goal before half-time 70%68% 80%
Goal after half-time 70%80% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atlético Bucaramanga 1 - 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Deportivo Pasto
0 : 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
AD Pasto
3 : 0
CA Bucaramanga
CA Bucaramanga
2 : 1
AD Pasto

FAQ

When do Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto play?

Atlético Bucaramanga face Deportivo Pasto on 17 August 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Alfonso López. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 1, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.39 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.28. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.

What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.