Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Bucaramanga played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Alfonso López. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Atlético Bucaramanga: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Junior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.48 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Junior scores 1.51 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 55%, Junior 54%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 48%, Junior 51%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.33. Atlético Bucaramanga: 12.3 shots per match, Junior: 13.1.
Match halves
Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Junior: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (10 goals). Junior: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga head into this match unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Junior have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 over the same period. The hosts average 1.92 goals per home game, compared with 1.44 for the visitors away from home; Bucaramanga’s edge is also reflected in their xG of 1.52 against Junior’s 1.27. The defensive gap is more pronounced: the hosts concede an average of 0.77 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 46% of matches, whereas Junior concede 1.25 goals away and record a clean sheet in 25% of games. The quality of chances they allow also favours the hosts, with Bucaramanga posting an average xG against of 0.98, compared with 1.64 in Junior’s away matches. However, the draw cannot be ruled out, as Bucaramanga have shared the points in 54% of their home games, so their advantage does not guarantee a win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 50% of Atlético Bucaramanga’s matches and 56% of Junior’s, with those rates rising to 80% and 60%, respectively, over the last five matchweeks. The hosts score an average of 1.61 goals, while Junior concede 1.25; additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.61 compared with the 1.64 xG conceded by the visitors. Junior score an average of 1.44 goals, while Atlético concede 1.22, and in their last five matches they allowed chances worth an average xG of 1.82. Both teams’ recent scoring rates of 2.2 and 2.0 goals per match strengthen the case for goals at both ends, although the hosts’ 33% clean-sheet rate limits confidence in the prediction. BTTS - Yes means both teams to score; BTTS - No means at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals has landed in 89% of Atlético Bucaramanga’s matches and 75% of Junior’s, providing a stronger signal than the even 50% recorded by both teams at the 2.5-goal line. The hosts average 1.61 goals scored, compared with 1.44 for the visitors; Junior also allows opponents chances worth an average of 1.64 xG. In their last five matches, Atlético scored 11 goals and Junior 10, although their average xG over that period was 1.10 and 1.93 respectively, so the hosts’ finishing should be viewed with caution. An estimated 2.75 goals in the match, combined with the high frequency of games going Over 1.5, makes Over 1.5 the safest pick without needing to assume there will be at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético Bucaramanga led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with Junior in just 1 of 5, pointing to a home advantage in the first half. Over this period, the hosts averaged 1.4 first-half goals, against Junior’s 0.6. Their average xG is 1.61, while opponents concede chances worth 1.64 xG per match; Bucaramanga also average 5.11 shots on target, compared with Junior’s 4.13. The hosts’ form supports them maintaining their lead: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and lost none, while Junior have won 2. However, the visitors averaged 1.4 second-half goals across their last 5 matches, so a turnaround remains a significant alternative, although 1/1 is the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.4 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.29 goals / match - Junior
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
Junior scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Bucaramanga
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Bucaramanga 0 - 1 - 2 Junior. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Bucaramanga 3:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Junior?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, Junior won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior?
Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.48 goals per game on average and Junior 1.51. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 54% of Junior's.
What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Junior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.