Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Alfonso LópezData current as of 18 September 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Bucaramanga play La Equidad in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Alfonso López.

Current form

Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. La Equidad: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.41 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. La Equidad scores 1.32 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 56%, La Equidad 68%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 48%, La Equidad 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

La Equidad has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.34. Atlético Bucaramanga: 12.4 shots per match, La Equidad: 13.1.

Match halves

Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.67. La Equidad: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (10 goals). La Equidad: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.41Goals scored / match1.32
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.04Goals conceded / match1.61
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
50%Average possession45%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
4.11Shots on target / match4.81
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.41Shots per match13.13
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
4.11Shots on target4.81
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
11.3%Shot conversion10.1%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
50%Possession45%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.34xG for1.39
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.11xG against1.41
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

Shooting quality

Atlético Bucaramanga: BalancedLa Equidad: Balanced
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.2 pts / match - La Equidad

Atlético Bucaramanga
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W48% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-13-6
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-7-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
WDDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
La Equidad
DDDWL
Season result split
29% W39% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-10
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-6
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.41 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.32 goals / match - La Equidad

Atlético Bucaramanga is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.04 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.61 goals / match - La Equidad

Atlético Bucaramanga scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).

La Equidad scoring profile: strong

La Equidad scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).

38Goals scored (season)41
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
28Goals conceded (season)50
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
2.44Average goals in match2.94
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal74%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
37%2 goals39%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
19%3 goals16%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
7%4 goals3%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal81%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
37%2 goals52%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0%3 goals16%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0%4 goals3%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Atlético Bucaramanga - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 27 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time35%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
11%BTTS in both halves10%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
26%Scored in both halves26%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
80%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 0.94 pts / match - La Equidad

Atlético Bucaramanga - half-time state
26% leading56% draw19% trailing
La Equidad - half-time state
10% leading65% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)0.94
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.29
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
48%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
52%No goal before half-time55%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
52%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad
52%No goal after half-time45%
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad

Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results

22% W56% D22% L
36
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

La Equidad - second-half results

29% W39% D32% L
29
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding290%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Bucaramanga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
La Equidad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Bucaramanga
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
7
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

La Equidad
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
7
2
16-30
7
12
31-45
10
7
46-60
6
12
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Bucaramanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

La Equidad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético BucaramangaLigaLa Equidad
Average goals in match 2.442.56 2.94
Both teams scored 56%55% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%48% 61%
Clean sheets 33%26% 19%
Goal before half-time 67%67% 65%
Goal after half-time 70%79% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+46%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atlético Bucaramanga 2 - 1 - 0 La Equidad. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

La Equidad
0 : 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
CA Bucaramanga
2 : 1
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
CD La Equidad Seguros SA
1 : 4
CA Bucaramanga

FAQ

When do Atlético Bucaramanga and La Equidad play?

Atlético Bucaramanga face La Equidad on 20 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Alfonso López. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and La Equidad?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 2, La Equidad won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad?

Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.41 goals per game on average and La Equidad 1.32. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 68% of La Equidad's.

What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and La Equidad in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and La Equidad 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.