Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 5 goals conceded in 10 matches, yielding an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game and an 80% clean sheet rate. However, Once Caldas exhibits excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and averaging 2.4 points per game. A key factor is the difference in attacking quality – the hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match (xG 1.51), whereas the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals away (xG 1.23). Bucaramanga's solid defense (xGA 0.73) can neutralize the offensive strengths of Once Caldas, which, combined with their 40% home draw rate and the visitors' 40% away draw rate, suggests an evenly matched clash. Considering all statistics, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to their superb home form.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Bucaramanga played Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Once Caldas: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Once Caldas scores 2.00 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 40%, Once Caldas 82%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 50%, Once Caldas 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.31. Atlético Bucaramanga: 12.4 shots per match, Once Caldas: 14.1.
Match halves
Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Once Caldas: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (6 goals). Once Caldas: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and only 5 goals conceded in 10 matches, yielding an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game and an 80% clean sheet rate. However, Once Caldas exhibits excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and averaging 2.4 points per game. A key factor is the difference in attacking quality – the hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match (xG 1.51), whereas the visitors score an average of 1.4 goals away (xG 1.23). Bucaramanga's solid defense (xGA 0.73) can neutralize the offensive strengths of Once Caldas, which, combined with their 40% home draw rate and the visitors' 40% away draw rate, suggests an evenly matched clash. Considering all statistics, I predict a draw as the most probable outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to their superb home form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 2.4 pts / match - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 2 goals / match - Once Caldas
Atlético Bucaramanga is 118% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.09 goals / match - Once Caldas
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Once Caldas scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.64 pts / match - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético BucaramangaSubstitutionOn: Jhon Fredy Salazar ValenciaOff: Enmerson Manuel Batalla Martínez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Bucaramanga 0 - 1 - 1 Once Caldas. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Once Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 0, Once Caldas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.50 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 2.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 82% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Once Caldas 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.