Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with 50% wins and just 0% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have a clear advantage in home goal difference (+9) and offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per match compared to Santa Fe's 0.83 goals away. Additionally, Bucaramanga maintains 67% clean sheets in home matches, indicating solid defense, while Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.17 goals away. The higher xG for the hosts (1.5 vs 1.29) and significantly better ball possession (55% vs 46%) confirm their dominance. The visitors have won only 17% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference (-2), which further weakens their chances. Considering all statistics, Atlético Bucaramanga's victory is the most likely outcome of this match.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Bucaramanga played Santa Fe in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Santa Fe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Santa Fe scores 1.17 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Bucaramanga 42%, Santa Fe 83%. Over 2.5: Atlético Bucaramanga 42%, Santa Fe 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Santa Fe has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.32. Atlético Bucaramanga: 12.4 shots per match, Santa Fe: 13.8.
Match halves
Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Santa Fe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (6 goals). Santa Fe: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga displays impressive home form with 50% wins and just 0% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have a clear advantage in home goal difference (+9) and offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per match compared to Santa Fe's 0.83 goals away. Additionally, Bucaramanga maintains 67% clean sheets in home matches, indicating solid defense, while Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.17 goals away. The higher xG for the hosts (1.5 vs 1.29) and significantly better ball possession (55% vs 46%) confirm their dominance. The visitors have won only 17% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference (-2), which further weakens their chances. Considering all statistics, Atlético Bucaramanga's victory is the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Atlético Bucaramanga has an extremely pro-BTTS profile this season: 100% BTTS, 0% clean sheets, and 0% no-goal matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Santa Fe also favors both teams scoring (67% BTTS), and additionally concedes 1.17 goals per match with a high xGA of 1.44, which, combined with the hosts' xG of 1.61 and 6.17 shots on target per match, strengthens the scenario of a Bucaramanga goal. On the visitors' side, despite a lower GF (0.83), their last 5 matches show 100% BTTS and 1.4 goals scored per match, increasing the chances of Santa Fe also finding the net. The hosts' defense shows no signs of stabilization (0% CS this season), and their xGA of ~1.0 still indicates a realistic chance of conceding. The only factor reducing confidence is Bucaramanga's drop in BTTS to 40% in their last 5 matches, so it is not a 'banker' bet, but still the closest to the most probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on goal averages and xG indicates approximately 2.57 goals in the match (1.45 for Bucaramanga and 1.12 for Santa Fe), which aligns with the league average of 2.54. The seasonal profile supports moderate scoring: Over 3.5 occurs in only 17% of matches for both teams, while Under 3.5 features in a high 83%. At the same time, Over 1.5 is highly probable (Bucaramanga 100%, Santa Fe 67%), limiting the appeal of low under lines. The signal on the 2.5 line is mixed (Bucaramanga 67% Over 2.5 vs Santa Fe 17% Over 2.5), and the last 5 matches show a spread of 40–60%. High BTTS rates (Bucaramanga 100%, Santa Fe 67%) and solid xG on both sides increase the risk but do not suggest a regular occurrence of 4+ goals. The strongest and most stable data pick is Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a win for Atlético Bucaramanga at full-time, as seasonally the hosts are more efficient (1.5 PPG vs 1.0) and generate better offensive numbers: 1.61 xG with 6.17 shots on target per match, while Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.17 goals. The first half favors a draw, as Santa Fe very often draws at the break (67%) and has a low first-half goal average (0.33), reducing the chances of an early breakthrough. After halftime, the match profile becomes more 'open' (both teams have a 100% over 0.5 record in the second half), and Bucaramanga has a better second-half PPG (1.67 vs 0.83), supporting a swing in their favor in the latter stages. Additionally, Santa Fe wins rarely this season (17%) and has poorer shot conversion (7% vs 10%), limiting their potential to fully maintain a favorable result. The draw/draw (X/X) outcome remains realistic due to both teams' high draw percentages (50% each), but the hosts' qualitative and volume advantage increases the probability of a draw/home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.17 goals / match - Santa Fe
Atlético Bucaramanga is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.25 goals / match - Santa Fe
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Santa Fe scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
Over / Under - Santa Fe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Fe is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga · 1.42 pts / match - Santa Fe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Bucaramanga | Liga | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 56% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético Bucaramanga 2 - 2 - 0 Santa Fe. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 Santa Fe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Bucaramanga and Santa Fe?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Bucaramanga won 2, Santa Fe won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.33 goals per game on average and Santa Fe 1.17. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Atlético Bucaramanga's matches and 83% of Santa Fe's.
What form are Atlético Bucaramanga and Santa Fe in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Bucaramanga have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Santa Fe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
The statistical background for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.