Atlético CP vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Atlético CP presents solid home form with 43% wins and an impressive goal difference (+4); however, their instability is confirmed by 43% losses at home. Académica Coimbra stands out with offensive efficiency (22 goals this season) and remarkable resilience in the last five matches (only draws and one win), making them a tough opponent. A key factor is the guests' 50% away draw rate and their ability to score (goals in 83% of matches). Considering the similar xG values of both teams and current form, a draw appears to be the most likely result.
Atlético CP vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético CP played Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Atlético CP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético CP scores 0.93 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.57 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético CP 21%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 57%. Over 2.5: Atlético CP 21%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 36%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.28. Atlético CP: 9.8 shots per match, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 10.6.
Match halves
Atlético CP: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Atlético CP: 61-75 (4 goals). Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest with a slight advantage for a draw scenario. Atlético CP presents solid home form with 43% wins and an impressive goal difference (+4); however, their instability is confirmed by 43% losses at home. Académica Coimbra stands out with offensive efficiency (22 goals this season) and remarkable resilience in the last five matches (only draws and one win), making them a tough opponent. A key factor is the guests' 50% away draw rate and their ability to score (goals in 83% of matches). Considering the similar xG values of both teams and current form, a draw appears to be the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético CP | Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético CP is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1.4 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1.57 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Atlético CP is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1.07 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Atlético CP scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético CP
Over / Under - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1.29 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético CP
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Atlético CP | Liga | Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.64 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Tiago André Araújo RodriguesOff: Carlos Eduardo Ferreira Batista
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFGoalRodrigo Coelho FernandesAssist: Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Daniel João Santos CandeiasOff: Marcos Paulo Gelmini Gomes
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Nuno André Sousa PereiraOff: Rodrigo Coelho Fernandes
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Nuno Miguel Silva BarbosaOff: Leandro Miguel Pereira Da Silva
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Gabriel Passos Alves da SilvaOff: Camilo José Triana Fragozo
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético CP 0 - 0 - 1 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético CP vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 1:4 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
Atlético CP score 0.93 goals per game on average and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1.57. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Atlético CP's matches and 57% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's.
What form are Atlético CP and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.