Atlético CP vs CD Mafra: match statistics
CD Mafra presents clearly better form with 2.2 points per game in the last five matches compared to 1.6 for Atlético CP. The visitors have scored 26 goals this season conceding just 18, while the hosts have a 15:15 balance. Mafra's away form is solid with 50% draws and only 25% losses, and the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches. Atlético CP loses half of their home matches and has only a 38% win rate on their own turf. xG statistics are close, but the advantage in real effectiveness and overall form favors the visitors. I expect a close match with a slight edge for CD Mafra, who can exploit the hosts' weaker home disposition.
Atlético CP vs CD Mafra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético CP played CD Mafra in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Atlético CP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Mafra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético CP scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. CD Mafra scores 1.53 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético CP 29%, CD Mafra 65%. Over 2.5: Atlético CP 24%, CD Mafra 41%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.27. Atlético CP: 9.7 shots per match, CD Mafra: 9.5.
Match halves
Atlético CP: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. CD Mafra: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Atlético CP: 16-30 (4 goals). CD Mafra: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CD Mafra presents clearly better form with 2.2 points per game in the last five matches compared to 1.6 for Atlético CP. The visitors have scored 26 goals this season conceding just 18, while the hosts have a 15:15 balance. Mafra's away form is solid with 50% draws and only 25% losses, and the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches. Atlético CP loses half of their home matches and has only a 38% win rate on their own turf. xG statistics are close, but the advantage in real effectiveness and overall form favors the visitors. I expect a close match with a slight edge for CD Mafra, who can exploit the hosts' weaker home disposition.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético CP | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Mafra is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético CP · 2.2 pts / match - CD Mafra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1.53 goals / match - CD Mafra
Atlético CP is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1.06 goals / match - CD Mafra
Atlético CP scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
CD Mafra scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético CP
Over / Under - CD Mafra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1.65 pts / match - CD Mafra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético CP
CD Mafra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Atlético CP | Liga | CD Mafra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 44% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 35% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético CP 0 - 0 - 1 CD Mafra. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético CP vs CD Mafra?
The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 1:2 CD Mafra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs CD Mafra?
Atlético CP score 0.88 goals per game on average and CD Mafra 1.53. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Atlético CP's matches and 65% of CD Mafra's.
What form are Atlético CP and CD Mafra in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Mafra 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs CD Mafra?
The statistical background for Atlético CP vs CD Mafra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.