Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã: match statistics
Atlético CP presents solid form in home matches with a 40% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets at home. The hosts possess an advantage in offensive quality, averaging 1.4 goals per match in home fixtures with an xG of 1.36, while Sporting Covilhã produces only 0.8 goals and an xG of 0.91 on the road. The visitors have a poor away record (20% wins, 40% matches without scoring) and a negative goal difference of -5 in away matches. Both teams show identical form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG, ddlww), which might suggest a close contest; however, the home advantage and superior offensive and defensive statistics of Atlético CP favor a home victory. Covilhã's relatively high draw percentage away (30%) and their ability to keep clean sheets (30%) justify a moderate probability of a points split.
Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético CP played Sporting Covilhã in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Atlético CP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sporting Covilhã: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético CP scores 1.20 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Sporting Covilhã scores 0.70 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético CP 35%, Sporting Covilhã 40%. Over 2.5: Atlético CP 35%, Sporting Covilhã 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético CP has higher xG: 1.28 vs 0.97. Atlético CP: 9.6 shots per match, Sporting Covilhã: 6.8.
Match halves
Atlético CP: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Sporting Covilhã: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Atlético CP: 16-30 (7 goals). Sporting Covilhã: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético CP presents solid form in home matches with a 40% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets at home. The hosts possess an advantage in offensive quality, averaging 1.4 goals per match in home fixtures with an xG of 1.36, while Sporting Covilhã produces only 0.8 goals and an xG of 0.91 on the road. The visitors have a poor away record (20% wins, 40% matches without scoring) and a negative goal difference of -5 in away matches. Both teams show identical form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG, ddlww), which might suggest a close contest; however, the home advantage and superior offensive and defensive statistics of Atlético CP favor a home victory. Covilhã's relatively high draw percentage away (30%) and their ability to keep clean sheets (30%) justify a moderate probability of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético CP | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Atlético CP · 0.7 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã
Atlético CP is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1.2 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã
Atlético CP scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Sporting Covilhã scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético CP
Over / Under - Sporting Covilhã
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1.1 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético CP
Sporting Covilhã
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Atlético CP | Liga | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.17 | ▼ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético CPGoalRúben André Fernandes Marques
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético CP 0 - 2 - 0 Sporting Covilhã. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã?
The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 1:2 Sporting Covilhã. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético CP and Sporting Covilhã?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 0, Sporting Covilhã won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã?
Atlético CP score 1.20 goals per game on average and Sporting Covilhã 0.70. The Liga 3 average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Atlético CP's matches and 40% of Sporting Covilhã's.
What form are Atlético CP and Sporting Covilhã in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sporting Covilhã 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã?
The statistical background for Atlético CP vs Sporting Covilhã — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.