Atlético Grau vs UCV Moquegua: match statistics
Atlético Grau vs UCV Moquegua: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Grau play UCV Moquegua in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 29 May 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Grau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. UCV Moquegua: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Grau scores 0.83 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. UCV Moquegua scores 1.06 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Grau 33%, UCV Moquegua 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético Grau 33%, UCV Moquegua 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Grau has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.13. Atlético Grau: 11.9 shots per match, UCV Moquegua: 10.4.
Match halves
Atlético Grau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. UCV Moquegua: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (4 goals). UCV Moquegua: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict an Atlético Grau win. Home side hold a clear advantage in home metrics: average 1.00 goals scored at home versus just 0.50 goals scored by UCV Moquegua away, while conceding only 0.86 at home compared to 1.75 conceded by the visitors on the road. Atlético generates more quality chances — home xG 1.57 vs away xG 1.01, average shots 13.57 vs 9.5 and shots on target 4.86 vs 3.13, with possession 49% vs 36% for UCV. Efficiency also favors the hosts: shot conversion ~7% vs 5% for the opponents, and share of matches without scoring is 43% for Atlético vs 63% for UCV, indicating away finishing issues for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches, while the visitors have only 13% clean sheets away and suffer 75% of their losses on the road. Although UCV scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.0 point per game versus the hosts’ 0.6 (Atlético scored 2 goals in that period), the superiority in xG and defensive metrics leads me to a probability distribution of 55% home win, 25% draw and 20% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Grau | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Grau is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atlético Grau · 0.6 pts / match - UCV Moquegua
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UCV Moquegua is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Atlético Grau · 1.06 goals / match - UCV Moquegua
Atlético Grau is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Atlético Grau · 1.44 goals / match - UCV Moquegua
Atlético Grau scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
UCV Moquegua scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Grau
Over / Under — UCV Moquegua
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Grau is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Atlético Grau · 1.22 pts / match - UCV Moquegua
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UCV Moquegua - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Grau
UCV Moquegua
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Grau | Liga | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
The Primera División match finished Atlético Grau 1:0 UCV Moquegua. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
Atlético Grau score 0.83 goals per game on average and UCV Moquegua 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Grau's matches and 50% of UCV Moquegua's.
What form are Atlético Grau and UCV Moquegua in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Grau have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and UCV Moquegua 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Grau vs UCV Moquegua?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.