Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: match statistics
Atlético Madrid displays impressive home form with an 85% win rate and a goal difference of +20, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match while conceding just 0.77, which attests to their defensive solidity and offensive effectiveness. Real Sociedad has trouble on the road—only 23% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, with an average of 1.08 scored and 1.38 conceded per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.94 vs 1.48), and Atlético's 46% clean sheet rate in home matches further strengthens their position. Considering all these factors, a victory for Atlético Madrid is the most likely scenario, although Real Sociedad, in good form over their last five matches (2 PPG), may put up resistance, keeping a draw in play as well.
Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Madrid played Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Atlético Madrid: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Real Sociedad: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Madrid scores 1.65 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Real Sociedad scores 1.46 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Madrid 46%, Real Sociedad 81%. Over 2.5: Atlético Madrid 42%, Real Sociedad 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Madrid has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.50. Atlético Madrid: 13.2 shots per match, Real Sociedad: 13.0.
Match halves
Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92. Real Sociedad: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (11 goals). Real Sociedad: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Madrid displays impressive home form with an 85% win rate and a goal difference of +20, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 2.31 goals per home match while conceding just 0.77, which attests to their defensive solidity and offensive effectiveness. Real Sociedad has trouble on the road—only 23% wins and a negative goal difference of -4, with an average of 1.08 scored and 1.38 conceded per away match. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.94 vs 1.48), and Atlético's 46% clean sheet rate in home matches further strengthens their position. Considering all these factors, a victory for Atlético Madrid is the most likely scenario, although Real Sociedad, in good form over their last five matches (2 PPG), may put up resistance, keeping a draw in play as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Madrid | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Sociedad is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético Madrid · 1.6 pts / match - Real Sociedad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Atlético Madrid · 1.46 goals / match - Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Atlético Madrid · 1.46 goals / match - Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
Real Sociedad scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
Over / Under - Real Sociedad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Madrid is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Atlético Madrid · 1.38 pts / match - Real Sociedad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Madrid | Liga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 25% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Madrid 0 - 1 - 0 Real Sociedad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The La Liga match finished Atlético Madrid 3:2 Real Sociedad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Atlético Madrid score 1.65 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.46. The La Liga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Atlético Madrid's matches and 81% of Real Sociedad's.
What form are Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Madrid have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Sociedad 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.