Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro play Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Botafogo 83%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Botafogo 83%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Atlético Mineiro: 13.6 shots per match, Botafogo: 12.6.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53. Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlético Mineiro has a slight edge in expected chances at home (average xG 1.48 vs 1.18 xG for the visitors on the road) and concedes an average of 1.67 goals per home match, indicating the hosts’ superior defensive profile. The hosts generate significantly more shots (14.17 vs 10.14 on average) and 4.67 on target per match, translating into 1.5 goals scored on average and a 50% home win rate (5 wins), while Botafogo records a higher shot conversion rate of 18% and effectively 1.86 goals per match. Botafogo is in better form in terms of results (9 goals in the last 5 matches and 2.0 points per game vs Atlético’s 7 goals and 1.4 points per game), so they are a credible offensive threat. However, the visitors concede 2.14 goals on average away, have 0% clean sheets and a high away loss rate (57%), which undermines their advantage. Considering the higher xG and more consistent home defense for Atlético and the visitors’ volatility on the road, I project a narrow home victory as the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.83 goals / match - Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.78 goals / match - Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under — Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Mineiro 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 1:1 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Botafogo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Botafogo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.21 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.83. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 83% of Botafogo's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Botafogo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.