Brazil - Serie AArena MRVData current as of 25 October 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Mineiro play Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 29 October 2026. Venue: Arena MRV.

Current form

Atlético Mineiro: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cruzeiro: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Mineiro scores 1.35 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.59 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Cruzeiro 69%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Cruzeiro 66%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.53. Atlético Mineiro: 14.0 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 14.9.

Match halves

Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (11 goals). Cruzeiro: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.48)
(3.45)
(2.87)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.35Goals scored / match1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.13Goals conceded / match1.44
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
49%Average possession55%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4.9Shots on target / match5.28
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.97Shots per match14.91
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4.9Shots on target5.28
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
9.7%Shot conversion10.7%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
49%Possession55%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.53xG for1.65
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.6xG against1.46
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Shooting quality

Atlético Mineiro: BalancedCruzeiro: Dominant
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cruzeiro is 9% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 2.4 pts / match - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W26% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-9
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Cruzeiro
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W19% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cruzeiro is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.59 goals / match - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.44 goals / match - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).

Cruzeiro scoring profile: very strong

Cruzeiro scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).

42Goals scored (season)51
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
35Goals conceded (season)46
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
2.48Average goals in match3.03
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
7Goals scored (last 5)12
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal88%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
42%2 goals50%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
19%3 goals19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
3%4 goals3%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal78%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
29%2 goals38%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
6%3 goals19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
3%4 goals9%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Atlético Mineiro - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 31 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time28%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%BTTS in both halves6%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
29%Scored in both halves38%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
60%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Mineiro is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.19 pts / match - Cruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
35% leading45% draw19% trailing
Cruzeiro - half-time state
28% leading34% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.19
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.44
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
65%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
52%No goal before half-time44%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.59
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
39%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro
48%No goal after half-time31%
Atlético MineiroCruzeiro

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

29% W39% D32% L
47
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cruzeiro - second-half results

41% W38% D22% L
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Mineiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cruzeiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
9
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
2
3
46-60
11
7
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cruzeiro
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
8
7
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Cruzeiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético MineiroLigaCruzeiro
Average goals in match▼ 2.482.66▲ 3.03
Both teams scored▼ 48%59%▲ 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%51%▲ 66%
Clean sheets▲ 26%23%• 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 68%75%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▲ 81%78%▲ 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atlético Mineiro 1 - 2 - 0 Cruzeiro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Cruzeiro
1 : 3
Atlético Mineiro
CA Mineiro
1 : 1
Cruzeiro EC
Cruzeiro EC
0 : 0
CA Mineiro

FAQ

When do Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro play?

Atlético Mineiro face Cruzeiro on 29 October 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Cruzeiro won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Atlético Mineiro score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.59. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 69% of Cruzeiro's.

What form are Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cruzeiro 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.