Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro played Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mirassol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Mirassol scores 1.14 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 40%, Mirassol 64%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 47%, Mirassol 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Mirassol has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.48. Atlético Mineiro: 13.9 shots per match, Mirassol: 14.9.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. Mirassol: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (4 goals). Mirassol: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Mineiro at home wins 43% of matches and draws 43%, averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded with 5 SOT and xG 1.53 per match. Mirassol away has only a 17% win rate, averaging 3.17 SOT and 1.0 goals per match and 50% of matches without scoring. Visitors are in better overall form (4 wins and 1 draw in last 5, 9 goals and PPG 2.6) while Atlético has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in last 5, 7 goals and PPG 1.0. The quality gap in chances is visible in xG and SOT: 1.53 xG and 5 SOT for the hosts versus 1.32 xG and 3.17 SOT for the visitors, and with higher conversion 10% vs 8% and a lower share of goalless matches (14% vs 50%) the hosts have the biggest advantage. Considering the home record, superior shot efficiency and lower tendency to fail to score, I predict an Atlético Mineiro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor BTTS - Yes. Atlético Mineiro posts a season BTTS rate of 75% (80% in their last 5 matches), while Mirassol has a season BTTS of 50% (60% in their last 5). Both sides statistically score and concede: Atlético averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per match this season, Mirassol 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded, which increases the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Atlético generates xG 1.8 per match; Mirassol concedes xG 1.7 and records xG_for 1.32, so xG profiles indicate both teams have realistic scoring opportunities. Shooting stats confirm home pressure: Atlético averages 5.88 shots on target and 16.88 total shots versus Mirassol’s 3.17 and 12.17, and with a 0% clean sheet rate for both sides it is difficult to expect a no-goal outcome. Considering a league-level BTTS of 57% and a combined 16 goals in the last 5 meetings (Atlético 7, Mirassol 9), I assess BTTS - Yes at 75% and No at 25%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project total expected goals at 3.10: Atlético Mineiro around 1.75 xG (attacking xG 1.80 vs Mirassol defense 1.70) and Mirassol around 1.35 xG (attacking xG 1.32 vs Atlético defense 1.38). Atlético has 63% of matches this season Over 2.5 goals and 75% Over 1.5, Mirassol has 50% for both thresholds; additionally Atlético records 75% BTTS matches and Mirassol 50%, which supports a scenario with at least three goals. The home side averages 5.88 SOT and 16.88 shots per match versus Mirassol's 3.17 SOT and 12.17 shots, and the xG edge (1.80 vs 1.32) plus higher SOT increase the likelihood of more finishes. Still, Over 3.5 looks less likely: Atlético only has 25% of matches with over 3.5 goals, Mirassol 33%, and the league averages 2.63 goals per game. Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal — total xG 3.10 and historical 63% (Atlético) and 50% (Mirassol) Over 2.5 provide the best edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics strongly favor Atlético Mineiro: the hosts led at the break in 3 home matches (38%), average 0.75 goals by half-time and concede only 0.25 goals in the first half, while Mirassol were trailing at the break in 4 away games (67%) and average 0.5 goals scored by half-time. The hosts’ attacking strengths are confirmed by an xG of 1.8 versus 1.32 for Mirassol and 5.88 shots on target versus 3.17, giving Atlético a clear advantage in goal-scoring opportunities. Seasonal goal averages reinforce this picture: the hosts score 1.25 goals per game versus 1.00 for the visitors and average 16.88 shots versus 12.17, increasing the likelihood of maintaining the lead and winning. Although Mirassol have better recent form in the last 5 matches (80% wins vs 20% for the hosts), their weaker away first-half stats and lower xG limit the realistic chance of a turnaround after the break. Therefore the most secure scenario from the data is Atlético leading at half-time and the hosts winning after full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mirassol is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.4 pts / match - Mirassol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.14 goals / match - Mirassol
Atlético Mineiro scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).
Mirassol scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Mirassol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Mirassol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.63 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético MineiroSubstitutionOn: Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves VojnovićOff: Alan Steve Minda García
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Mineiro 1 - 1 - 0 Mirassol. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 3:1 Mirassol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Mirassol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Mirassol won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.20 goals per game on average and Mirassol 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 64% of Mirassol's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Mirassol in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mirassol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Mirassol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.