Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: match statistics
Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro played Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Arena MRV. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Santos: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.34 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Santos scores 1.55 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Santos 72%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Santos 66%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.44. Atlético Mineiro: 13.4 shots per match, Santos: 13.4.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Santos: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (11 goals). Santos: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Mineiro have a clear home advantage: they have won 57% of their home matches, while Santos have won 36% of their away games. At home, the hosts average 15.29 shots and generate an xG of 1.68, compared with Santos’ 12.64 shots and 1.34 xG away from home, pointing to a higher volume and quality of chances for Atlético. The defensive gap is also significant: Atlético concede an average of 1.14 goals at home, while Santos concede 1.64 away. The visitors remain dangerous, however, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in that run, while the hosts have recorded 3 wins and scored 9. Despite Santos’ stronger recent form, Atlético’s home record and the visitors’ weaker defence point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams frequently feature in matches with goals at both ends: Atlético Mineiro have seen this outcome in 64% of their matches, and Santos in 79%, compared with a league average of 59%. Santos average 1.64 goals scored per match and Atlético 1.43; they also concede 1.64 and 1.29 goals respectively, creating opportunities for both attacks. Over their last 5 matches, the home side averaged 1.8 goals and the visitors 2.0, while both teams scored in 60% and 80% of those matches respectively. In addition, Atlético generate an average of 1.53 xG, against 1.70 xG conceded by Santos, making a home goal particularly likely. Since both sides have kept a clean sheet in only 21% of their matches, it is more likely that each team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 93% of Atlético Mineiro matches and 86% of Santos matches, giving this line stronger support than the higher goal lines. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.64; Atlético’s xG of 1.53 also compares favorably with the 1.70 xG of chances Santos allow. Santos average 1.64 goals scored and have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five matches, so they could also contribute to the total. An estimated total of 3.0 goals points towards the Over, but the gap between Atlético’s rate of matches with Over 2.5 goals (50%) and Santos’ (79%) makes that line less reliable. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Santos were level at half-time in 8 of 14 matches (57%) and were trailing in only 2 (14%), making a draw at the break more likely than Atlético Mineiro taking an early lead. After half-time, the advantage could shift to the hosts: Santos concede an average of 1.21 goals in the second half, compared with 0.64 for Atlético. The case for a home win is also supported by their higher average xG (1.53 versus 1.34 for the visitors) and the higher xG of chances Santos allow: 1.70, compared with 1.22 for Atlético. Santos have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Atlético have won 3, so the X/1 pick is not a safe one. However, the combination of the visitors’ frequent half-time draws and their weaker second-half defending provides the strongest rationale for it.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Santos is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 2.6 pts / match - Santos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santos is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.55 goals / match - Santos
Atlético Mineiro is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.48 goals / match - Santos
Atlético Mineiro scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Santos scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Santos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.48 pts / match - Santos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Santos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Mineiro 0 - 1 - 2 Santos. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 2:1 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Santos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, Santos won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.34 goals per game on average and Santos 1.55. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 72% of Santos's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Santos in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Santos 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.