Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo: match statistics
São Paulo is in excellent form, occupying first place in the table with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their form in the last five matches (WWLWW) and points per game (2.4 PPG) significantly surpass those of Atlético Mineiro. The hosts are only in 16th place with just one win this season and are in poor form (LDLWL). São Paulo has a 67% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per game, which indicates a solid defense. Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.67 goals in home matches, which, combined with their poor form, makes them vulnerable to defeat. xG analysis also favors the visitors, who have better shooting efficiency and control of the game.
Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro played São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. São Paulo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.67 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 50%, São Paulo 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 50%, São Paulo 33%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.23. Atlético Mineiro: 11.8 shots per match, São Paulo: 11.2.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. São Paulo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (2 goals). São Paulo: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo is in excellent form, occupying first place in the table with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their form in the last five matches (WWLWW) and points per game (2.4 PPG) significantly surpass those of Atlético Mineiro. The hosts are only in 16th place with just one win this season and are in poor form (LDLWL). São Paulo has a 67% win rate in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per game, which indicates a solid defense. Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.67 goals in home matches, which, combined with their poor form, makes them vulnerable to defeat. xG analysis also favors the visitors, who have better shooting efficiency and control of the game.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
São Paulo is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 2.6 pts / match - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.67 goals / match - São Paulo
São Paulo is 234% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 0.5 goals / match - São Paulo
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
São Paulo scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.83 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Mineiro 0 - 1 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético Mineiro 1:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, São Paulo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.17 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 50% of São Paulo's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and São Paulo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.