Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: match statistics
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Alianza Petrolera in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 22 February 2026 at 00:20. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Alianza Petrolera: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Alianza Petrolera scores 0.68 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Alianza Petrolera 42%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Alianza Petrolera 32%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.12. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Alianza Petrolera: 10.9.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. Alianza Petrolera: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Alianza Petrolera: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 188% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.68 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.42 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Alianza Petrolera scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Alianza Petrolera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.21 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Alianza Petrolera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 - 1 Alianza Petrolera. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 3:0 Alianza Petrolera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Alianza Petrolera won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and Alianza Petrolera 0.68. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 42% of Alianza Petrolera's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Alianza Petrolera 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.