Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: match statistics
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional played Alianza Petrolera in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Alianza Petrolera: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Alianza Petrolera scores 0.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 50%, Alianza Petrolera 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 75%, Alianza Petrolera 17%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.20. Atlético Nacional: 20.0 shots per match, Alianza Petrolera: 11.5.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.75. Alianza Petrolera: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 46-60 (3 goals). Alianza Petrolera: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional displays dominant form at their home stadium with a 100% win rate in home matches (3 wins in 3 games) and an impressive goal ratio of 10:3. The hosts score an average of 3.33 goals per home game, boasting a high conversion rate (15% shot conversion) and an advantage in ball possession (54%). Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), failing to score a single goal away and conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors' form is disastrous - a series of three consecutive away defeats and a goal difference of -8 in away matches. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (2.29 vs 0.87) clearly points to a decisive victory for the hosts. Considering all the data, the probability of a draw is minimal, and the visitors' chances of gaining points are practically zero.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 275% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.5 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional is 144% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.83 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Alianza Petrolera scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Alianza Petrolera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.83 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Alianza Petrolera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 - 1 Alianza Petrolera. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 3:0 Alianza Petrolera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Alianza Petrolera won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atlético Nacional score 2.50 goals per game on average and Alianza Petrolera 0.50. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 50% of Alianza Petrolera's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Alianza Petrolera in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Alianza Petrolera 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.