Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Atlético Nacional presents significantly better home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive goal difference of 6:1. The hosts demonstrate high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target and an xG level of 2.53. Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away matches, drawing them all (100% draws), with very poor offensive efficiency – just 0.5 goals per match and 50% of matches without scoring. The difference in xG quality (2.53 vs 1.62) and form (ww vs dd) clearly favors the hosts. Atlético should control the match thanks to a solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average at home) and offensive advantage, making a home win the most likely scenario.
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional played Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 3.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 0.80 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 50%, Fortaleza CEIF 60%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 100%, Fortaleza CEIF 0%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 2.53 vs 1.60. Atlético Nacional: 24.5 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 15.6.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (2 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional presents significantly better home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive goal difference of 6:1. The hosts demonstrate high offensive efficiency, averaging 3 goals per match with 10.5 shots on target and an xG level of 2.53. Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away matches, drawing them all (100% draws), with very poor offensive efficiency – just 0.5 goals per match and 50% of matches without scoring. The difference in xG quality (2.53 vs 1.62) and form (ww vs dd) clearly favors the hosts. Atlético should control the match thanks to a solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average at home) and offensive advantage, making a home win the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 275% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.8 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 46% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 4:1 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional score 3.00 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 0.80. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 60% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza CEIF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.