Atlético Nacional vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Nacional played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 27 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Atlético Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Junior: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Nacional scores 1.69 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Junior scores 1.35 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Nacional 56%, Junior 52%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 58%, Junior 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.33. Atlético Nacional: 15.9 shots per match, Junior: 12.0.

Match halves

Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.77. Junior: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Atlético Nacional: 31-45+ (20 goals). Junior: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Atlético NacionalJunior
29Shots6
Atlético NacionalJunior
9Shots on target1
Atlético NacionalJunior
2.91xG0.65
Atlético NacionalJunior
6Corners2
Atlético NacionalJunior
64Dangerous attacks26
Atlético NacionalJunior
14Fouls10
Atlético NacionalJunior
3Cards5
Atlético NacionalJunior

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético NacionalJunior
1.69Goals scored / match1.35
Atlético NacionalJunior
1.04Goals conceded / match1.04
Atlético NacionalJunior
57%Average possession53%
Atlético NacionalJunior
5.42Shots on target / match4.04
Atlético NacionalJunior

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.88Shots per match12.02
Atlético NacionalJunior
5.42Shots on target4.04
Atlético NacionalJunior
10.6%Shot conversion11.3%
Atlético NacionalJunior
57%Possession53%
Atlético NacionalJunior
1.66xG for1.33
Atlético NacionalJunior
1.18xG against1.41
Atlético NacionalJunior

Shooting quality

Atlético Nacional: DominantJunior: Balanced
Atlético NacionalJunior
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Junior

Atlético Nacional
WWLWD
Season result split
48% W31% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-15-10
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
16-4-4
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Junior
LDWWD
Season result split
44% W29% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-14-13
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-9-8
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.35 goals / match - Junior

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 48 matches).

Junior scoring profile: strong

Junior scores in 77% of matches (37 of 48 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 35% (17 of 48 matches).

81Goals scored (season)65
Atlético NacionalJunior
50Goals conceded (season)50
Atlético NacionalJunior
2.73Average goals in match2.4
Atlético NacionalJunior
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Atlético NacionalJunior
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético NacionalJunior

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal77%
Atlético NacionalJunior
50%2 goals42%
Atlético NacionalJunior
25%3 goals13%
Atlético NacionalJunior
10%4 goals4%
Atlético NacionalJunior

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal67%
Atlético NacionalJunior
29%2 goals31%
Atlético NacionalJunior
10%3 goals6%
Atlético NacionalJunior
0%4 goals0%
Atlético NacionalJunior

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.27 of 48 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time19%
Atlético NacionalJunior
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético NacionalJunior
35%Scored in both halves27%
Atlético NacionalJunior

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Atlético NacionalJunior
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlético NacionalJunior
40%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético NacionalJunior

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Atlético NacionalJunior
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Atlético NacionalJunior
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético NacionalJunior

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Atlético NacionalJunior
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Atlético NacionalJunior
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Atlético NacionalJunior

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.33 pts / match - Junior

Atlético Nacional - half-time state
44% leading40% draw17% trailing
Junior - half-time state
31% leading40% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)1.33
Atlético NacionalJunior
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Atlético NacionalJunior
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Atlético NacionalJunior
1.46Average goals (1st half)1.08
Atlético NacionalJunior
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Atlético NacionalJunior
38%No goal before half-time52%
Atlético NacionalJunior

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.58
Atlético NacionalJunior
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Atlético NacionalJunior
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Atlético NacionalJunior
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.31
Atlético NacionalJunior
63%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Atlético NacionalJunior
48%No goal after half-time44%
Atlético NacionalJunior

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

40% W42% R19% P
82
Half-time points
44
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
77
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Junior - second-half results

38% W46% R17% P
64
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
76
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Junior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
13
12
0-15
11
3
16-30
20
14
31-45
14
12
46-60
8
2
61-75
15
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Junior
ScoredConceded
13
5
0-15
4
9
16-30
9
12
31-45
11
5
46-60
12
7
61-75
16
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Junior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético NacionalLigaJunior
Average goals in match 2.732.30 2.40
Both teams scored 56%46% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%43% 44%
Clean sheets 35%33% 33%
Goal before half-time 73%65% 71%
Goal after half-time 69%69% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.30
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Atlético NacionalYellow cardJorman David Campuzano Puentes
  2. Atlético NacionalYellow cardDavid Ospina Ramírez
  3. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionOn: Facundo Agustín Batista OchoaOff: Andrés Mateus Uribe Villa
  4. Atlético NacionalYellow cardAlfredo José Morelos Aviléz
  5. Atlético NacionalSubstitutionOn: Billy Vladimir Arce MinaOff: Marino Hinestroza Angulo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Diego Ulloa AnguloMatches officiated: 25
6.64Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Atlético Nacional 0 - 0 - 2 Junior. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CD Popular Junior FC SA
2 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
2 : 3
CD Popular Junior FC SA

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Junior?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 1:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Junior?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 0, Junior won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Junior?

Atlético Nacional score 1.69 goals per game on average and Junior 1.35. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 52% of Junior's.

What form are Atlético Nacional and Junior in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Junior 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Junior?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.