Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Ottawa play Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cavalry FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Ottawa scores 1.46 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Cavalry FC scores 1.92 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 69%, Cavalry FC 42%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 62%, Cavalry FC 42%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.25. Atlético Ottawa: 11.1 shots per match, Cavalry FC: 15.0.
Match halves
Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08. Cavalry FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). Cavalry FC: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 4-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I expect an even match and predict a draw; both teams have similar xG: Atlético Ottawa 1.58 at home versus Cavalry FC 1.52 away. Atlético score 2.25 goals per home game on average and have a 75% home win rate while conceding 1.25 goals on average, and they have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches. Cavalry concede only 0.5 goals per away match on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of away games; they have won 67% of away fixtures this season and have conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches. Both teams average 5.5 shots on target per game, but Ottawa have a higher conversion rate at 17% versus Cavalry’s 14% and have not failed to score at home (percentage of home games without scoring 0% versus 33%), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring and a split of points. Therefore I assess the probability of a draw at 40%, home win at 33% and away win at 27%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 2 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.92 goals / match - Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC is 254% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.5 goals / match - Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
Cavalry FC scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under — Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavalry FC is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.67 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Atlético Ottawa 4 - 1 - 1 Cavalry FC. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 0:3 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and Cavalry FC?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 4, Cavalry FC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 1.46 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 1.92. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 42% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cavalry FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.