Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Ottawa played Vancouver FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Vancouver FC: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Ottawa scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Vancouver FC scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 33%, Vancouver FC 0%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 33%, Vancouver FC 0%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver FC has higher xG: 1.66 vs 0.76. Atlético Ottawa: 6.0 shots per match, Vancouver FC: 13.3.
Match halves
Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Vancouver FC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (2 goals). Vancouver FC: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Ottawa are slight favorites because the home side have scored 2 goals this season and have 1 win, while Vancouver have yet to score (0) and have no wins. In the last 5 matches Ottawa have scored 2 and conceded 12 (2.4 conceded per match on average), whereas Vancouver have conceded 11 and lost all 5 most recent fixtures. The visitors, however, generate a lot of chances: on the road they average 14 shots and 6 shots on target with an average xG of 1.77 per game, yet they still have 100% of away matches without a goal, indicating a dramatic lack of finishing. Vancouver’s main advantages are superior shot volume and xG, while the hosts’ advantages are actual goals and 1 win this season (1 win and 2 goals vs. 0 goals for the visitors) and the visitors’ inability to convert chances. Consequently, with both defenses vulnerable but the visitors’ finishing at zero, I estimate a 55% probability for a home win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 0% (Atlético Ottawa 0%, Vancouver FC 0%), and in the last 5 matches values of 20% and 0%, indicating a very low incidence of both teams scoring. Goal statistics confirm this trend: Atlético Ottawa scored 2 goals this season and 2 in the last 5 matches, while Vancouver has not scored any goals either this season or in the last 5 matches (0.0). Despite season xG of 1.61 vs 1.77 and averages of 13 and 14 shots, both teams have a shot conversion rate of 0%, indicating a large gap between chance creation and finishing. Defensively both sides are vulnerable (conceding on average 2.4 and 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches), but the low actual goal output makes a clean sheet expected scenario more likely; therefore I assess a 75% probability of No BTTS (No) and 25% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model comparing attacking and defensive strength yields a total of about 2.55 goals: Atlético Ottawa has offensive xG of 1.61 while Vancouver’s defense concedes xG of 0.65, translating to ~1.13 expected goals for the home side; Vancouver has offensive xG of 1.77 while Ottawa’s defense concedes 1.06, giving ~1.42 expected goals for the away side. Both teams generate numerous shooting opportunities — averaging 13.0 and 14.0 shots and 5.5 and 6.0 shots on target — which raises the likelihood of concrete goal-scoring situations. In the last 5 matches Ottawa conceded on average 2.4 goals (12 in 5), and Vancouver 2.2 goals (11 in 5), so both sides are prone to conceding. The league average is 2.42 goals per game, and 50% of matches finish Over 2.5 goals, which further supports a multi-goal game scenario. Based on this, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The first half is expected to be balanced: Atlético Ottawa have been level at the break in 2 of 2 matches (100%), and the average first-half goals in the last 5 matches for both teams is only 1.0, which favors a draw at halftime. Vancouver show superior xG and defensive metrics: xG for the visitors is 1.77 versus 1.61 for the hosts, and xG against Vancouver is 0.65 compared to 1.06 for Atlético, increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring after the break. Both teams attempt a similar number of shots (14 vs 13) and shots on target (6.0 vs 5.5), and the hosts’ matches feature many second-half goals (on average 1.8 goals in the second half and 100% of home games with >0.5 second-half goals), which favors turnarounds after the interval. Although Vancouver have no wins in their last 5 matches (form 'lllll'), the xG advantage and lower xG against for the visitors provide a strong signal for a Vancouver comeback after halftime, so the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vancouver FC is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1 goals / match - Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Vancouver FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Vancouver FC scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under - Vancouver FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vancouver FC is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.67 pts / match - Vancouver FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vancouver FC - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.38 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético Ottawa 2 - 2 - 0 Vancouver FC. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 1:1 Vancouver FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and Vancouver FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 2, Vancouver FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 0.67 goals per game on average and Vancouver FC 0.00. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 0% of Vancouver FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and Vancouver FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vancouver FC 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.