Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Ottawa play York9 FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. York9 FC: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Ottawa scores 1.46 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. York9 FC scores 1.27 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 69%, York9 FC 73%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 62%, York9 FC 55%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
York9 FC has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.25. Atlético Ottawa: 11.1 shots per match, York9 FC: 11.9.
Match halves
Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08. York9 FC: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). York9 FC: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Atlético Ottawa hold a clear attacking edge — 18 goals this season and an average of 1.8 goals per home match, versus York9’s 13 goals and just 0.8 on the road. Ottawa also create better chances: home xG 1.58 compared to York9’s away xG 1.4, 4.8 shots on target per game versus 3.6 and a conversion rate of 14% vs 6%, translating to higher finishing efficiency. Form supports the home advantage — in the last 5 matches Ottawa scored 10 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game over that span, while York9 scored 4 goals and only 0.2 points per game; additionally the visitors conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches compared to 12 conceded by Ottawa. Both teams are susceptible to conceding (Ottawa concedes 1.6 goals on average at home, York9 1.8 away), but York9 allow higher expected danger against (xG against 1.61 vs 1.35 for Ottawa), increasing the chances of further goals for the hosts. Considering better efficiency (14% vs 6%), more shots on target (4.8 vs 3.6) and a stronger home record (60% home wins vs York9’s 20% away), I assess the probability of a home win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away success at 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Ottawa is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.2 pts / match - York9 FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Ottawa is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.27 goals / match - York9 FC
Atlético Ottawa is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 2 goals / match - York9 FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
York9 FC scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under — York9 FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
York9 FC is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.09 pts / match - York9 FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
York9 FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Ottawa
York9 FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Ottawa 1 - 3 - 1 York9 FC. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 1:1 York9 FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and York9 FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 1, York9 FC won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 1.46 goals per game on average and York9 FC 1.27. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 73% of York9 FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and York9 FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and York9 FC 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.