Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Ottawa played York9 FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 17 July 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. York9 FC: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Ottawa scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. York9 FC scores 1.30 and concedes 2.10. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 67%, York9 FC 70%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 67%, York9 FC 60%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
York9 FC has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.25. Atlético Ottawa: 10.6 shots per match, York9 FC: 12.4.
Match halves
Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.08. York9 FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). York9 FC: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Atlético Ottawa hold a clear attacking edge — 18 goals this season and an average of 1.8 goals per home match, versus York9’s 13 goals and just 0.8 on the road. Ottawa also create better chances: home xG 1.58 compared to York9’s away xG 1.4, 4.8 shots on target per game versus 3.6 and a conversion rate of 14% vs 6%, translating to higher finishing efficiency. Form supports the home advantage — in the last 5 matches Ottawa scored 10 goals and averaged 1.2 points per game over that span, while York9 scored 4 goals and only 0.2 points per game; additionally the visitors conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches compared to 12 conceded by Ottawa. Both teams are susceptible to conceding (Ottawa concedes 1.6 goals on average at home, York9 1.8 away), but York9 allow higher expected danger against (xG against 1.61 vs 1.35 for Ottawa), increasing the chances of further goals for the hosts. Considering better efficiency (14% vs 6%), more shots on target (4.8 vs 3.6) and a stronger home record (60% home wins vs York9’s 20% away), I assess the probability of a home win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away success at 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rate is 80% for Atlético Ottawa and 60% for York9 FC, with BTTS in the last 5 matches for both teams at 80%, providing a strong signal for both teams to score. Ottawa scored 18 goals this season (1.8 avg) and 10 goals in the last 5 (2.0 per match), while conceding 22 this season (2.4) and 12 in the last 5 (2.4); York9 has 13 goals this season (0.8) and 4 in the last 5 (0.8) with 21 conceded this season (1.8) and as many as 17 in the last 5 (3.4), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. xG stands at 1.24 for Ottawa and 1.40 for York9, with xG against of 2.03 (Ottawa) and 1.61 (York9), meaning both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. Additionally, both teams have only 20% of matches as clean sheet expected, average shots on target are 4.2 (Ottawa) and 3.6 (York9), and season shot conversion is 16% vs 6%, all favoring a Goal/Goal scenario. Based on this, I recommend BTTS - Yes with probability 80% (No 20%) as the most consistent with available data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: Atlético Ottawa 80% and York9 80%; based on xG I calculate 1.43 for the home side and 1.71 for the visitors (total 3.14), which strongly supports Over 1.5. Atlético averages 1.8 goals with an xG of 1.24 and a conversion rate of 16%, while York9 actually scores 0.8 with an xG of 1.4 and a conversion rate of 6%, suggesting York creates chances despite low finishing. In the last 5 matches Ottawa scored 10 and conceded 12 (22 total, 4.4 per match), and York9 scored 4 and conceded 17 (21 total, 4.2 per match), which further supports a high-scoring game and also argues for Over 2.5. Additionally BTTS is 80% for Ottawa and 60% for York9, and the league averages 2.87 goals per match versus our forecast of 3.14, so I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/1: a draw at half-time and an Atlético Ottawa win at full-time. A draw at the break appears likely because York9 drew at half-time in 80% of their matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 80.0) and average 0.4 goals by HT (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.4). Although the visitors generate slightly higher xG (1.40 versus 1.24 for the home side), the hosts convert chances more efficiently—conversion rate 16% versus 6% for York9—which increases Atlético’s chances of a turnaround in the second half. Additionally the home side dominate after the break: on average 3.0 second-half goals (AVG_2hg_home = 3.0) and 1.4 goals scored in the 2nd half (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.4) versus 0.4 for the opponents, and the away team’s form is poor (last 5 away: dllll, 0% wins), so the most likely outcome is a draw at 45 minutes and an Atlético Ottawa victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Ottawa is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.2 pts / match - York9 FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Ottawa is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.3 goals / match - York9 FC
Atlético Ottawa is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 2.1 goals / match - York9 FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while York9 FC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
York9 FC scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under - York9 FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
York9 FC is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.1 pts / match - York9 FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
York9 FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Ottawa
York9 FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | York9 FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Ottawa 1 - 3 - 1 York9 FC. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 1:1 York9 FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and York9 FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 1, York9 FC won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 1.50 goals per game on average and York9 FC 1.30. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 70% of York9 FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and York9 FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and York9 FC 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs York9 FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.