Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.54 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.32 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 57%, Atlético Mineiro 46%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 50%, Atlético Mineiro 46%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.40. Atlético PR: 12.3 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.4.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (11 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR are the favourites: they have won 64% of their home matches and lost just 7%, while Atlético Mineiro have suffered defeat in 57% of their away games. The hosts average 1.79 goals scored at home from 1.58 xG, while the visitors score 0.93 goals away and fail to find the net in 57% of those matches. The gap in chance quality is reinforced by the defensive numbers: Atlético PR concede an average of 1.02 xG and 0.79 goals at home, whereas Atlético Mineiro allow opponents 1.70 xG away. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 wins for the hosts, but their away record points to an Atlético PR victory. Some caution is warranted, however, as the hosts have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 100% of Atlético PR’s games and 60% of Atlético Mineiro’s, which supports BTTS - Yes. The hosts averaged 2.4 goals scored during this period, but also conceded 2.4, making their matches open at both ends. The visitors have recently averaged 1.8 goals from an xG of 1.66, while the hosts have allowed opponents chances worth 1.95 xG per match. There is significant risk attached to this pick: across the season, Atlético Mineiro failed to score in 57% of matches, and BTTS landed in only 29% of their games. However, the visitors’ more recent scoring form and the hosts’ defensive problems slightly outweigh this season-long warning sign.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético PR score an average of 1.71 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.68, while Atlético Mineiro allow opponents an xG of 1.70. The hosts scored in 93% of their home matches, and the visitors conceded in 79% of their away games, strengthening the case for Atlético PR to score. The hosts’ last 5 matches produced an average of 4.8 goals, but the visitors failed to score in 57% of their away games, making the more demanding Over 2.5 goals line less certain. Over 1.5 goals landed in 79% of Atlético PR’s home matches and 57% of Atlético Mineiro’s away matches; with a projected total of 2.85 goals, this is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético PR led at the break in 50% of their home matches, while Atlético Mineiro failed to score in the first half in 71% of their away games, supporting the case for the hosts to be ahead after 45 minutes. Atlético PR average 1.71 goals per home match, compared with the visitors’ 0.93 away, and their xG is 1.68 versus 1.23 for their opponents. The second half also favours the hosts holding on to their lead: Atlético PR average 1.00 goals in that period, while Mineiro concede 0.79 and score just 0.36. The 1/1 HT/FT pick is not without risk, however, as Mineiro have won 60% of their last five matches, while the hosts have conceded an average of 2.4 goals. Despite the visitors’ improved recent form, Atlético PR’s frequent leads at the break and clear home scoring advantage make 1/1 the most likely single outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.32 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético PR scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.57 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 2:2 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Atlético PR score 1.54 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's matches and 46% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Atlético PR and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.