Brazil - Serie AArena de BaixadaData current as of 19 September 2026

Atlético PR vs Bahia: match statistics

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Atlético PR vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético PR play Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada.

Current form

Atlético PR: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bahia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético PR scores 1.52 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.56 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético PR 56%, Bahia 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 48%, Bahia 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.39. Atlético PR: 12.3 shots per match, Bahia: 14.7.

Match halves

Atlético PR: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Atlético PR: 0-15 (11 goals). Bahia: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.52Goals scored / match1.56
Atlético PRBahia
1.15Goals conceded / match1.22
Atlético PRBahia
46%Average possession54%
Atlético PRBahia
4.85Shots on target / match5.07
Atlético PRBahia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.33Shots per match14.67
Atlético PRBahia
4.85Shots on target5.07
Atlético PRBahia
12.3%Shot conversion10.6%
Atlético PRBahia
46%Possession54%
Atlético PRBahia
1.39xG for1.63
Atlético PRBahia
1.37xG against1.55
Atlético PRBahia

Shooting quality

Atlético PR: Counter-attackingBahia: Attacking
Atlético PRBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)39%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.6 pts / match - Bahia

Atlético PR
DWDLD
Season result split
48% W26% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-7
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Bahia
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W37% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-5
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético PR is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.22 goals / match - Bahia

Atlético PR scoring profile: very strong

Atlético PR scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).

41Goals scored (season)42
Atlético PRBahia
31Goals conceded (season)33
Atlético PRBahia
2.67Average goals in match2.78
Atlético PRBahia
11Goals scored (last 5)13
Atlético PRBahia
12Goals conceded (last 5)8
Atlético PRBahia

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal89%
Atlético PRBahia
52%2 goals52%
Atlético PRBahia
19%3 goals15%
Atlético PRBahia
4%4 goals0%
Atlético PRBahia

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal70%
Atlético PRBahia
26%2 goals37%
Atlético PRBahia
19%3 goals11%
Atlético PRBahia
0%4 goals4%
Atlético PRBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time30%
Atlético PRBahia
11%BTTS in both halves4%
Atlético PRBahia
37%Scored in both halves19%
Atlético PRBahia

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Atlético PRBahia
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlético PRBahia
100%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético PRBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Atlético PRBahia
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Atlético PRBahia
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Atlético PRBahia

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Atlético PRBahia
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Atlético PRBahia
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Atlético PRBahia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.44 pts / match - Bahia

Atlético PR - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
37% leading33% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.44
Atlético PRBahia
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.85
Atlético PRBahia
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Atlético PRBahia
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.52
Atlético PRBahia
44%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Atlético PRBahia
44%No goal before half-time44%
Atlético PRBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Atlético PRBahia
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Atlético PRBahia
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Atlético PRBahia
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.26
Atlético PRBahia
63%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Atlético PRBahia
41%No goal after half-time48%
Atlético PRBahia

Atlético PR - second-half results

37% W41% D22% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
39
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético PR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.82.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético PR
ScoredConceded
11
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
8
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
7
6
16-30
13
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético PR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético PRLigaBahia
Average goals in match 2.672.67 2.78
Both teams scored 56%60% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%51% 52%
Clean sheets 30%23% 30%
Goal before half-time 81%74% 85%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 0 - 1 Bahia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Atlético PR and Bahia play?

Atlético PR face Bahia on 20 September 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bahia?

Atlético PR score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's matches and 67% of Bahia's.

What form are Atlético PR and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bahia?

The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.