Atlético PR vs Bahia: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético PR: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bahia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.52 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.56 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 56%, Bahia 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 48%, Bahia 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bahia has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.39. Atlético PR: 12.3 shots per match, Bahia: 14.7.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (11 goals). Bahia: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR are highly reliable at home: they win 62% of their home matches, score an average of 1.77 goals and concede just 0.77 goals per game. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.59 xG on home soil, while Bahia allow opponents as much as 1.93 xG away from home and concede 1.46 goals per match. However, Bahia arrive in excellent current form, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals, so their chances of taking points remain high. During the same period, Atlético PR have won just once, drawn three times and conceded 12 goals, pointing to temporary defensive issues. Despite the visitors' superior form, home advantage and Atlético PR's clearly better season-long defensive metrics give the hosts a marginal edge to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear: Atlético PR recorded BTTS in 71% of their matches this season, while Bahia did so in 62%, compared with the league average of 59%. Over the last five matches, this figure rose to 100% for the home side and 80% for the visitors, with an average of 2.2 and 2.6 goals scored respectively. Atlético PR conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match during this period, while Bahia conceded 1.6, increasing the likelihood of both attacks finding the net. The attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts create an average of 1.73 quality chances, while the visitors create 1.52, with Bahia's defence allowing opponents 1.93 xG. BTTS - Yes is more likely, although clean sheets of 29% and 31% leave a moderate risk that one side will fail to score. BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético PR average 1.57 goals at home, while Bahia concede 1.46 goals away, with the hosts generating 1.73 xG per match compared to the 1.93 xG allowed by their opponents. Bahia score an average of 1.54 goals away from home, while Atlético PR’s defense allows opponents 1.20 xG, meaning the visitors also possess genuine scoring potential. In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games, while Atlético scored 11 and conceded 12 goals, confirming a clearly more open current profile. Over 1.5 goals landed in 93% of Atlético’s matches and 77% of Bahia’s games this season, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection with a projected total of 3.19 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bahia are in clearly superior form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and suffering no defeats, while Atlético PR have won just 1 of their 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The visitors held a lead at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, and their average of 1.6 goals before half-time is higher than the hosts’ 1.2. Over the course of the season, Bahia win 46% of their matches, while Atlético PR finish as many as 43% of theirs in a draw, increasing the likelihood that the visitors could hold on to even a narrow advantage. Atlético PR benefit from home advantage and have a higher xG of 1.73 compared with Bahia’s 1.52, so a draw at half-time remains a serious alternative; however, Bahia’s current efficiency and form provide the strongest support for the scenario in which the visitors lead after the first half and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.6 pts / match - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.22 goals / match - Bahia
Atlético PR scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Bahia scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.44 pts / match - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 0 - 1 Bahia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 2:1 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bahia?
Atlético PR score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Atlético PR's matches and 67% of Bahia's.
What form are Atlético PR and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bahia?
The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.