Atlético PR vs Botafogo: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Botafogo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.43 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 57%, Botafogo 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 43%, Botafogo 83%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.19 vs 0.89. Atlético PR: 10.6 shots per match, Botafogo: 7.5.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. Botafogo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (5 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR show better form and table position and strong home results with 75% home wins and only 0.75 GA per match. Botafogo struggle away, losing 75% of away matches and conceding 2.25 on average, indicating defensive issues against hosts' attack. xG gap (1.3 for Atlético vs 0.86 for Botafogo away) plus higher shots and possession for Atlético (11.5 shots, 53% possession) supports hosts' ability to create chances. In last five both teams scored, but Botafogo conceded more (8 vs 6), increasing likelihood of a home win. I therefore favor Atlético with moderate draw probability and low away-win chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Clear BTTS predisposition: both teams post similar xG (0.89 vs 0.86) and Botafogo away seasonBTTS 75% with no CS, indicating they usually both score and concede. Atlético PR shows high season CS (50%) and season BTTS 0% (contra), but L5 both teams record 60% BTTS, reflecting current trend. Botafogo concedes heavily (ga_season_away 12) and Atlético concedes moderately (seasonConcededAVG_home 1.5), increasing mutual scoring chances. League avg BTTS 56% supports 'yes'. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model projects 1.29 xG for Atlético PR and 1.26 xG for Botafogo (total 2.55), placing the match well above 1.5 goals with high probability. Atlético has a high season Over2.5 rate and excellent shot conversion (24%), while Botafogo concedes ~2.25 goals per match, increasing goal risk. Both teams show solid xG_for (~0.89 and 0.86) and a relatively high number of SOT, indicating active offense. Season Over1.5/2.5 percentages favor at least two goals; last-5 form also supports a scoring game. Strongest and most certain signal: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data point to a strong second-half advantage for the hosts: high AVG_2hg_home and many goals in minutes 76–90 suggest late attacking dominance. HT stats often show a draw or away lead at the break (high drawingAtHTPercentage and leadingAtHTPercentage_away), favoring a halftime draw. Overall form and PPG of the hosts (seasonPPG_home 1.5 vs 0.75) and better second-half results give hosts a high probability of overturning the score. xG and shots are similar, confirming the second 45 minutes are decisive. The strongest signal is HT draw and FT home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético PR · 0.6 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.67 goals / match - Botafogo
Atlético PR is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Atlético PR · 2 goals / match - Botafogo
Atlético PR scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Botafogo scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético PR is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1 pts / match - Botafogo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 45% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 4:1 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
Atlético PR score 1.43 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's matches and 50% of Botafogo's.
What form are Atlético PR and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Botafogo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.