Atlético PR vs Bragantino: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atlético PR: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bragantino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.36 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.24 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 45%, Bragantino 43%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 41%, Bragantino 38%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.32. Atlético PR: 11.7 shots per match, Bragantino: 15.8.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73. Bragantino: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (8 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR are very strong at home: they have won 73% of their matches, averaging 1.73 goals scored and just 0.55 goals conceded per game. Bragantino score only 1.00 goal away from home, fail to score in 30% of matches, and their 40% defeat rate clearly highlights their lower level of stability on the road. The hosts also have the more favorable chance-quality profile in this matchup, with an xG against of 0.93, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.54. Recent form also favors Atlético PR, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 6 goals in that run, whereas Bragantino have managed only 2 goals and recorded three draws. The hosts’ defensive superiority, greater efficiency, and consistency at home point to an Atlético PR victory, although the visitors’ solid defense could limit the margin of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from the teams’ current form: Atlético PR have not recorded a match with both teams scoring in their last 5 fixtures, while Bragantino saw this outcome in only 20% of those games. The visitors scored just 2 goals during this period, averaging 0.4 per match, while conceding 0.6, which increases the risk that they will fail to breach the hosts’ defence. Atlético PR concede an average of 0.8 goals in their last 5 matches and have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their games this season, while Bragantino have failed to score in 30% of their league fixtures. Long-term BTTS figures are also low, standing at 45% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, well below the league average of 56%. Although Bragantino have generated 1.41 xG across their last five appearances, their poor 7% conversion rate and just 0.4 goals scored per match support the expectation that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The latest form of both teams clearly lowers goal expectations: Atlético PR have scored 6 goals in their last five matches, while Bragantino have scored just 2. During the same period, the hosts conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game and the visitors 0.6, with none of Bragantino’s five matches and only 20% of Atlético PR’s matches going over 2.5 goals. The season-long figures also point to limited potential for a very high-scoring game, as 82% of Atlético PR’s matches and as many as 100% of Bragantino’s matches have ended with under 3.5 goals. Although the hosts’ average xG is 1.72 and the visitors’ 1.57, their current finishing efficiency is weaker, particularly for Bragantino, who are averaging just 0.4 goals across their last five appearances. The projected total of 2.10 goals provides the strongest edge on the Under 3.5 goals market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético PR have a clear first-half advantage: they have been leading at the break in 55% of their matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored before half-time and conceding just 0.36. Away from home, Bragantino have taken a half-time lead in only 20% of matches, averaging 0.4 goals in this period, and just 0.2 across their last five games. The hosts are also in better current form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches while averaging 1.2 goals scored, whereas the visitors have won only 1 of 5 and scored 0.4 goals per match. Bragantino perform slightly better after the break, but both teams have averaged just 0.8 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, which favours Atlético PR maintaining an early lead. Therefore, the most likely scenario remains Atlético PR leading at half-time and winning at the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.6 pts / match - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.24 goals / match - Bragantino
Atlético PR is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.05 goals / match - Bragantino
Atlético PR scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Bragantino scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.57 pts / match - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 1 - 0 Bragantino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 1:1 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bragantino?
Atlético PR score 1.36 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Atlético PR's matches and 43% of Bragantino's.
What form are Atlético PR and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bragantino 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bragantino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.