Brazil - Serie AArena de BaixadaData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlético PR vs Bragantino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético PR vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético PR play Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada.

Current form

Atlético PR: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bragantino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético PR scores 1.36 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.24 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético PR 45%, Bragantino 43%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 41%, Bragantino 38%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Bragantino has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.32. Atlético PR: 11.7 shots per match, Bragantino: 15.8.

Match halves

Atlético PR: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.73. Bragantino: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52.

Goals by minute

Atlético PR: 0-15 (8 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.12)
(3.32)
(3.73)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético PRBragantino
1.36Goals scored / match1.24
Atlético PRBragantino
0.86Goals conceded / match1.05
Atlético PRBragantino
47%Average possession50%
Atlético PRBragantino
4.45Shots on target / match4.81
Atlético PRBragantino

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.73Shots per match15.76
Atlético PRBragantino
4.45Shots on target4.81
Atlético PRBragantino
11.6%Shot conversion7.9%
Atlético PRBragantino
47%Possession50%
Atlético PRBragantino
1.32xG for1.65
Atlético PRBragantino
1.21xG against1.25
Atlético PRBragantino

Shooting quality

Atlético PR: BalancedBragantino: Attacking
Atlético PRBragantino
Accuracy (shots on target)38%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético PR is 63% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.6 pts / match - Bragantino

Atlético PR
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W18% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-6
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Bragantino
WWDDL
Season result split
43% W19% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-8
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético PR is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.24 goals / match - Bragantino

Atlético PR is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.05 goals / match - Bragantino

Atlético PR scoring profile: strong

Atlético PR scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

Bragantino scoring profile: strong

Bragantino scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

30Goals scored (season)26
Atlético PRBragantino
19Goals conceded (season)22
Atlético PRBragantino
2.23Average goals in match2.29
Atlético PRBragantino
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Atlético PRBragantino
1Goals conceded (last 5)4
Atlético PRBragantino

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal71%
Atlético PRBragantino
50%2 goals29%
Atlético PRBragantino
9%3 goals19%
Atlético PRBragantino
5%4 goals5%
Atlético PRBragantino

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal67%
Atlético PRBragantino
14%2 goals38%
Atlético PRBragantino
9%3 goals0%
Atlético PRBragantino
0%4 goals0%
Atlético PRBragantino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time19%
Atlético PRBragantino
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético PRBragantino
32%Scored in both halves29%
Atlético PRBragantino

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Atlético PRBragantino
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Atlético PRBragantino
20%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético PRBragantino

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Atlético PRBragantino
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlético PRBragantino
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Atlético PRBragantino

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Atlético PRBragantino
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Atlético PRBragantino
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Atlético PRBragantino

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bragantino is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.57 pts / match - Bragantino

Atlético PR - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing
Bragantino - half-time state
38% leading43% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.57
Atlético PRBragantino
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Atlético PRBragantino
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Atlético PRBragantino
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.19
Atlético PRBragantino
45%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Atlético PRBragantino
50%No goal before half-time43%
Atlético PRBragantino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.77Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Atlético PRBragantino
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
Atlético PRBragantino
0.23Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Atlético PRBragantino
0.95Average goals (2nd half)1.1
Atlético PRBragantino
77%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Atlético PRBragantino
45%No goal after half-time57%
Atlético PRBragantino

Atlético PR - second-half results

45% W41% R14% P
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bragantino - second-half results

38% W24% R38% P
33
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético PR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bragantino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético PR
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
7
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Bragantino
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético PR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Bragantino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético PRLigaBragantino
Average goals in match 2.232.57 2.29
Both teams scored 45%57% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%48% 38%
Clean sheets 36%24% 33%
Goal before half-time 82%75% 76%
Goal after half-time 68%77% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 1 - 0 Bragantino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Atlético PR and Bragantino play?

Atlético PR face Bragantino on 15 August 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Bragantino?

Atlético PR score 1.36 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Atlético PR's matches and 43% of Bragantino's.

What form are Atlético PR and Bragantino in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bragantino 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Bragantino?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.