Atlético PR vs Cruzeiro: match statistics
Atlético PR demonstrates a significantly superior home record compared to Cruzeiro's away form. The hosts have won 50% of their home matches and are unbeaten in their last two home fixtures, while Cruzeiro have failed to secure a single away victory this season. A key factor is offensive efficiency – Atlético PR average 1 goal per home game with an xG of 1.61, whereas Cruzeiro manage only 0.67 goals per away match with an xG of 1.36. The visitors' defense is a major concern, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Cruzeiro's away goal difference stands at -6, further underscoring their struggles on the road. Despite the hosts' slightly poorer recent overall form, home advantage and head-to-head statistics favor an Atlético PR victory.
Atlético PR vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cruzeiro: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.17 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 60%, Cruzeiro 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 40%, Cruzeiro 67%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.27. Atlético PR: 12.0 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 14.8.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (3 goals). Cruzeiro: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR demonstrates a significantly superior home record compared to Cruzeiro's away form. The hosts have won 50% of their home matches and are unbeaten in their last two home fixtures, while Cruzeiro have failed to secure a single away victory this season. A key factor is offensive efficiency – Atlético PR average 1 goal per home game with an xG of 1.61, whereas Cruzeiro manage only 0.67 goals per away match with an xG of 1.36. The visitors' defense is a major concern, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Cruzeiro's away goal difference stands at -6, further underscoring their struggles on the road. Despite the hosts' slightly poorer recent overall form, home advantage and head-to-head statistics favor an Atlético PR victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Atlético PR · 0.6 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Atlético PR · 2.33 goals / match - Cruzeiro
Atlético PR scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Cruzeiro scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Cruzeiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cruzeiro is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.5 pts / match - Cruzeiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cruzeiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Cruzeiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Cruzeiro?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 2:1 Cruzeiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Cruzeiro?
Atlético PR score 1.20 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.17. The Serie A average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético PR's matches and 67% of Cruzeiro's.
What form are Atlético PR and Cruzeiro in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cruzeiro 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Cruzeiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.