Brazil - Serie AArena de BaixadaData current as of 15 October 2026

Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético PR play Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada.

Current form

Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Palmeiras: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético PR scores 1.63 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético PR 60%, Palmeiras 57%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 53%, Palmeiras 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. Atlético PR: 12.9 shots per match, Palmeiras: 15.5.

Match halves

Atlético PR: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80. Palmeiras: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Atlético PR: 0-15 (13 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.93)
(3.39)
(2.47)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.63Goals scored / match1.73
Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.17Goals conceded / match0.73
Atlético PRPalmeiras
47%Average possession53%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
5.17Shots on target / match5.17
Atlético PRPalmeiras

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.87Shots per match15.5
Atlético PRPalmeiras
5.17Shots on target5.17
Atlético PRPalmeiras
12.7%Shot conversion11.2%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
47%Possession53%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.45xG for1.67
Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.41xG against1.4
Atlético PRPalmeiras

Shooting quality

Atlético PR: Counter-attackingPalmeiras: Attacking
Atlético PRPalmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)40%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palmeiras is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.2 pts / match - Palmeiras

Atlético PR
LDWDW
Season result split
50% W27% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-7
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-5-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Palmeiras
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W30% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-9-3
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.40Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.73 goals / match - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Atlético PR · 0.73 goals / match - Palmeiras

Atlético PR scoring profile: strong

Atlético PR scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).

49Goals scored (season)52
Atlético PRPalmeiras
35Goals conceded (season)22
Atlético PRPalmeiras
2.8Average goals in match2.47
Atlético PRPalmeiras
12Goals scored (last 5)7
Atlético PRPalmeiras
10Goals conceded (last 5)1
Atlético PRPalmeiras

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal87%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
57%2 goals47%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
20%3 goals23%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
7%4 goals13%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal57%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
27%2 goals13%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
17%3 goals3%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
0%4 goals0%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time20%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
13%BTTS in both halves7%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
43%Scored in both halves40%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
100%BTTS - last 520%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.03 pts / match - Palmeiras

Atlético PR - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing
Palmeiras - half-time state
53% leading43% draw3% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)2.03
Atlético PRPalmeiras
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.9
Atlético PRPalmeiras
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.23
Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.13
Atlético PRPalmeiras
43%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
40%No goal before half-time30%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Atlético PRPalmeiras
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Atlético PRPalmeiras
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Atlético PRPalmeiras
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Atlético PRPalmeiras
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Atlético PRPalmeiras
37%No goal after half-time43%
Atlético PRPalmeiras

Atlético PR - second-half results

37% W43% D20% L
42
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palmeiras - second-half results

30% W60% D10% L
61
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético PR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 8
Palmeiras - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético PR
ScoredConceded
13
5
0-15
5
7
16-30
7
7
31-45
8
1
46-60
4
4
61-75
12
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
10
1
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético PR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético PRLigaPalmeiras
Average goals in match▲ 2.802.68▼ 2.47
Both teams scored• 60%60%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 53%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 27%23%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%75%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%79%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 0 - 1 Palmeiras. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Atlético PR and Palmeiras play?

Atlético PR face Palmeiras on 17 October 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?

Atlético PR score 1.63 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético PR's matches and 57% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Atlético PR and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.