Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR play Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Palmeiras: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.63 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 60%, Palmeiras 57%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 53%, Palmeiras 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. Atlético PR: 12.9 shots per match, Palmeiras: 15.5.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80. Palmeiras: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (13 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.2 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.73 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Atlético PR · 0.73 goals / match - Palmeiras
Atlético PR scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Atlético PR · 2.03 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético PR 0 - 0 - 1 Palmeiras. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético PR and Palmeiras play?
Atlético PR face Palmeiras on 17 October 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?
Atlético PR score 1.63 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético PR's matches and 57% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Atlético PR and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


