Atlético PR vs Vitória: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR played Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vitória: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.42 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Vitória scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 50%, Vitória 36%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 50%, Vitória 27%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.22. Atlético PR: 10.9 shots per match, Vitória: 11.1.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75. Vitória: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 0-15 (6 goals). Vitória: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR has a clear home advantage: 83% home wins, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per match, with average xG for 1.38 and xG against 0.83. Vitória, on the other hand, has yet to win away (0% away wins), scores 0.6 goals per away match and concedes 2.4, with away xG of 1.0 versus xG against 1.75. The home side also registers more shots (11.83 vs 8.4) and more shots on target (5.33 vs 3.4), enjoys higher possession (53% vs 43%) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 7%), which translates into better actual goal returns. However, recent form favors the visitors — Atlético's last 5 show 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses and 3 goals scored with 6 conceded (0.8 points per match), while Vitória's last 5 are 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 10 goals scored (2 points per match). Considering Atlético's strong home metrics (83% wins, +8 goal difference in home matches) and Vitória's clear away issues (0% wins, -9 goal difference away), I predict a home win, though Vitória's current scoring form must be accounted for.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict no BTTS ("No Goal") with 70% probability versus 30% for BTTS - Yes. The main argument is Atlético PR's strong defense: hosts have a clean sheet in 83% of matches and a seasonal BTTS rate of only 17%, with an average goals conceded of 0.33 per match. Vitória's seasonal BTTS is 60% and they scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 avg), but their seasonal away goals average is only 0.6 with 8.4 shots and 3.4 shots on target per away match, which limits their realistic chance to score against a very well-defended back line. xG and offensive metrics also favor the hosts: Atlético has xG 1.4 and 13.33 shots per match on average, while Vitória has xG 1.0 and xG against 1.75, suggesting the hosts create more chances and can control the match while keeping a clean sheet. Although the league overall has 56% BTTS matches, the 83% home clean sheets versus 60% BTTS for the visitors, combined with the low seasonal away goals average (0.6), gives a stronger signal for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining xG (Atlético PR xG_for 1.4 vs Vitória defense xG_against 1.75 yields (1.4+1.75)/2 ≈ 1.58 for the home side; Vitória xG_for 1.0 vs Atlético defense xG_against 1.25 yields ≈ 1.12 for the away side) produces an expected total xG ≈ 2.70 goals. Seasonal figures support a tendency for at least two goals: Atlético at home has 67% of matches over 1.5 goals, Vitória 100%, and both teams have a high rate of matches over 0.5 (83% and 100%); therefore I assess Over 1.5 at 86% probability. The 2.5 line is more balanced – seasonal Over 2.5 is 17% for the home team and 40% for the away, while the league has 48% such matches; our expected 2.70 goals slightly favors Over 2.5 (55%). Over 3.5 looks unlikely, since the home team has 0% seasonal matches over 3.5, the away team 20%, and history and averages do not shift this markedly (I assign Over 3.5 only 20%). Therefore the strongest signal is to play Over 1.5 (Over, line 1.5) based on xG 1.58/1.12 and seasonal rates 67% vs 100%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético PR shows strong first-half and full-match indicators: the home side led at the break in 3 of their 6 matches so far (50%) and averages 0.5 goals by half-time while conceding 0.33, whereas Vitória averages 0.2 goals by half-time and concedes 1.6. Additionally, Atlético posts higher xG (1.4 vs 1.0 for the visitors), attempts more shots (13.33 vs 8.4) and more shots on target (4.5 vs 3.4), indicating a clear home initiative. The hosts score an average of 0.83 goals in second halves and have a 100% clean sheet rate in second halves, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead at the break. Vitória has not won a match this season (away win percentage = 0.0) and led at half-time in 0% of matches (leadingAtHT_away = 0.0), so a turnaround by the visitors is unlikely. On this basis the strongest signal is Atlético leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.6 pts / match - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1 goals / match - Vitória
Atlético PR is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.27 goals / match - Vitória
Atlético PR scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Vitória scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 3:1 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Vitória?
Atlético PR score 1.42 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético PR's matches and 36% of Vitória's.
What form are Atlético PR and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vitória 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Vitória?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Vitória: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.