Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela played Colegiales in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 6 June 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Colegiales: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.87 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Colegiales scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 33%, Colegiales 33%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 27%, Colegiales 27%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Colegiales has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.21. Atlético Rafaela: 9.3 shots per match, Colegiales: 10.9.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.60. Colegiales: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (4 goals). Colegiales: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Rafaela concedes only 0.38 goals per home game on average and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of home matches, while averaging 1.13 goals scored at home. Colegiales score just 0.38 goals per away game on average, have not won any away matches this season (0%) and fail to score in 63% of away outings, with a conversion rate of only 4%. The hosts create more quality chances: 9 shots and 3.75 on target per home match with xG 1.25, versus 8.88 shots and 2.63 on target and xG 1.19 for the visitors; shooting efficiency is 13% vs 4%. In the last 5 matches Rafaela’s record is 2 wins and 3 losses (goals 3–6), while Colegiales have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (goals 6–3), however the visitors’ away goal difference is -10. Considering the 63% home win rate for the hosts versus 0% away wins for the visitors and Rafaela’s defensive edge (0.38 GA and 75% clean sheets), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The statistics strongly support No BTTS: Atlético Rafaela has a season clean sheet rate of 71% and concedes only 0.29 goals per match on average, while Colegiales scores just 0.38 goals per match. Home xG is 1.49 versus away xG 1.19, but Colegiales shows low efficiency — only 4% conversion from an average of 8.88 shots — which translates to a realistic 0.38 goals given xG 1.19. Season BTTS rates are 29% for Rafaela and 38% for Colegiales, against a league average BTTS of 39% and a very high league clean sheet rate of 79%, indicating these teams’ matches less frequently finish Goal/Goal. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 20% of fixtures; Rafaela scored 3 and conceded 6, while Colegiales scored 6 and conceded 3, showing that despite a short-term uplift from the visitors the season profile favors No Goal from the away side. Therefore I recommend a “No” BTTS as the strongest signal, estimating probability around 80% vs 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model yields expected goals of 1.37 for Atlético Rafaela (attack xG 1.49, away defense xG 1.24) and 1.13 for Colegiales (attack xG 1.19, home defense xG 1.07), totaling 2.50 goals. From a Poisson distribution with λ≈2.50, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 71%, Over 2.5 is roughly 45%, and Over 3.5 around 24%. Seasonal stats show Rafaela scores 1.29 goals at home on average and keeps a clean sheet in 71% of matches, while Colegiales scores only 0.38 goals away and has a low shot conversion of 4% (home side 10%), which limits the visitors’ real threat. Despite both teams’ solid xG figures, the visitors’ lower conversion and the home side’s high clean sheet rate point to a moderate final score, but the combined xG of 2.50 statistically indicates at least two goals. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is betting Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side "over") with approximately 71% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an Atlético Rafaela victory at full-time (X/1). Rafaela draws at the break in 71% of home matches, averaging 0.43 goals scored by half-time and 0.14 conceded, and keeping a clean sheet at the break in 86% of home games. Colegiales averages only 0.13 goals scored by half-time and concedes 0.63, and in 50% of away fixtures they are already losing after 45 minutes, so an away lead at the break is unlikely. After the break Rafaela is strong — they average 0.86 goals in the second half, win 56% of second halves and often decide matches late (4 goals in minutes 76–90), while Colegiales concedes an average of 1.00 goal in second halves and loses them 63% of the time. Additionally, the quality gap is evident: the home team’s average points are 2.14 versus 0.25 for the visitors, and the home xG is 1.49 versus 1.19 for the visitors, which supports the model of a draw at half-time and a Rafaela turnaround to win after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colegiales is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.6 pts / match - Colegiales
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Rafaela is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.8 goals / match - Colegiales
Atlético Rafaela is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1 goals / match - Colegiales
Atlético Rafaela scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Colegiales keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Colegiales scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under - Colegiales
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colegiales is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.13 pts / match - Colegiales
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colegiales - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Colegiales
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 1.85 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 1:0 Colegiales. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.87 goals per game on average and Colegiales 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 33% of Colegiales's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Colegiales in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colegiales 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales?
The statistical background for Atlético Rafaela vs Colegiales — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.