Atlético Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela played Gimnasia Jujuy in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gimnasia Jujuy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 1.11 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Gimnasia Jujuy scores 2.00 and concedes 1.22. League average: 1.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 44%, Gimnasia Jujuy 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 33%, Gimnasia Jujuy 78%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Gimnasia Jujuy has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.18. Atlético Rafaela: 9.6 shots per match, Gimnasia Jujuy: 11.4.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Gimnasia Jujuy: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (3 goals). Gimnasia Jujuy: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Rafaela shows a strong defensive profile at home: on average they concede 0.6 goals per match, have 60% clean sheets and 60% home wins with an average 1.4 goals scored and a +4 goal difference. In the last 5 matches Rafaela scored 6 goals and recorded only 1 win (avg. 1.0 point per match), indicating some dip in form. Gimnasia Jujuy arrive in good form — 4 wins in their last 5 and 12 goals in those five (2.4 goals per match and 2.4 points per match) — but on the road they concede as much as 2.0 goals per match and have 0% clean sheets. Expected chances are similar (xG Rafaela at home 1.15 vs xG Gimnasia away 1.13), however Rafaela generate more shots and shots on target (avg. 9.0 and 3.4 vs 8.5 and 2.25) and have a slightly higher conversion rate (16% vs 15%). Considering the hosts' defensive advantage (0.6 vs 2.0 goals conceded) and their statistical stability at home, I give slight preference to Atlético Rafaela.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high seasonal BTTS rates: Atlético Rafaela 60% and Gimnasia Jujuy 75%, and BTTS in the last 5 matches for both sides stood at 60%. Atlético average 2.6 goals scored at home and generate xG 1.63 with 5.2 shots on target and 13.8 shots overall, while Gimnasia concedes on average 2.0 goals per match season-to-date, which increases the likelihood of goals. Gimnasia in the last 5 matches averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and have kept 0% clean sheets across the season, strongly supporting an away goal. xG comparison shows Rafaela with xG_for 1.63 versus xG_against_away 1.4, and Gimnasia with xG_for 1.13 versus xG_against_home 1.19, meaning both sides have realistic chances to score. Based on this I back BTTS - Yes with a 75% probability vs 25% for No, because the specific figures (seasonal BTTS 60% vs 75%, Gimnasia’s 0% clean sheets, and recent 5-match averages: Gimnasia 2.4 scored and Rafaela 1.4 conceded) clearly favor both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast combines xG and actual averages: the home side’s xG is 1.63 versus opponents’ defence xG conceded of 1.40 (modelled ~1.52 for the home team), and the away side’s xG is 1.13 versus opponents’ defence xG conceded of 1.19 (modelled ~1.16 for the away team). Considering current figures as well, Atlético Rafaela scores on average 2.6 goals at home and has a 19% shot conversion, while Gimnasia Jujuy concedes on average 2.0 goals away and has no clean sheets (0%), so I weight both approaches and obtain expected goals of 1.83 for the home team and 1.07 for the away team, total 2.90. A Poisson model with a total of 2.90 yields a probability for Over 1.5 of about 79% (Under 21%), Over 2.5 about 56% (Under 44%) and Over 3.5 about 33% (Under 67%). Seasonal rates reinforce these conclusions: Atlético has 80% of matches Over 1.5, Gimnasia 100% Over 1.5, and BTTS at 60% and 75% respectively, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. For these reasons the strongest and most probable signal is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético Rafaela led at half-time in 4 of 5 matches this season (80%), scoring on average 1.2 goals by the break and conceding 0.2, which strongly supports the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Over the season Rafaela scores 2.6 goals per game versus Gimnasia Jujuy’s 1.25, has an xG of 1.63 against 1.13 and averages 13.8 shots per match compared to 8.5, with 5.2 shots on target versus 2.25 for the opponents — these figures confirm an offensive edge. Additionally, HTPoints_home are 12 and HTPPG_home 2.4 versus HTPoints_away 4 and HTPPG_away 1.0, and Rafaela kept a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of matches; at the same time it should be noted that the visitors won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and led at the break in 60% of those games, which increases the risk of an upset. Considering the hosts’ dominance in xG, shots and first-half stats and their tendency to score in minutes 16–30 (3 goals) and 46–60 (4 goals), the strongest signal is 1/1 (45%); alternatives are X/1 (20%) and X/X (12%) as secondary scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 2.4 pts / match - Gimnasia Jujuy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gimnasia Jujuy is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 2 goals / match - Gimnasia Jujuy
Atlético Rafaela is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.22 goals / match - Gimnasia Jujuy
Atlético Rafaela scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Gimnasia Jujuy keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Gimnasia Jujuy scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under - Gimnasia Jujuy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gimnasia Jujuy is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.78 pts / match - Gimnasia Jujuy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gimnasia Jujuy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Gimnasia Jujuy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.78 | 1.81 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 41% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 0:0 Gimnasia Jujuy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Atlético Rafaela score 1.11 goals per game on average and Gimnasia Jujuy 2.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 67% of Gimnasia Jujuy's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Gimnasia Jujuy in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gimnasia Jujuy 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.