Atlético Rafaela vs Midland: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela vs Midland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela play Midland in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 21:30. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Midland: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Midland scores 1.05 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 29%, Midland 40%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 24%, Midland 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Midland has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.15. Atlético Rafaela: 8.4 shots per match, Midland: 14.4.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48. Midland: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). Midland: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict an away win (2). Midland has won 4 of their last 5 matches and averages 2.4 points per game in that period, while Atlético Rafaela has 2 wins and 1.4 points per game in their last 5. The visitors scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per game) and have an away xG of 1.52, whereas the hosts scored 6 goals in their last 5 (1.2 per game) with a home xG of 1.27. However, Rafaela concede only 0.43 goals per game at home and have clean sheets in 71% of matches, which limits the likelihood of a heavy defeat. Midland take significantly more shots (13 vs 9.14) and have a similar number of shots on target (4.17 vs 4), but a lower conversion rate (9% vs 13%), so I expect a narrow away victory in a tight, low-scoring game.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Midland is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1 pts / match - Midland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midland is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.05 goals / match - Midland
Midland is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.75 goals / match - Midland
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Midland keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Midland scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under — Midland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Midland is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.55 pts / match - Midland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Midland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Midland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.89 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Midland?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 1:0 Midland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Midland?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.71 goals per game on average and Midland 1.05. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 40% of Midland's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Midland in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Midland 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Midland?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Rafaela vs Midland: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


