Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes: match statistics
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Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela play Quilmes in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Quilmes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.82 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Quilmes scores 0.91 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 33%, Quilmes 21%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 30%, Quilmes 30%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Quilmes has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.23. Atlético Rafaela: 9.0 shots per match, Quilmes: 11.8.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.55. Quilmes: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (6 goals). Quilmes: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Quilmes is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.4 pts / match - Quilmes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Quilmes is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.91 goals / match - Quilmes
Quilmes is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.85 goals / match - Quilmes
Atlético Rafaela scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Quilmes keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Quilmes scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 45% (15 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under - Quilmes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Quilmes is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.15 pts / match - Quilmes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Quilmes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Quilmes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.85 | 1.93 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atlético Rafaela 0 - 1 - 1 Quilmes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes play?
Atlético Rafaela face Quilmes on 17 October 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Rafaela won 0, Quilmes won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.82 goals per game on average and Quilmes 0.91. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 21% of Quilmes's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Quilmes in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Quilmes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Quilmes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.