Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Guadalajara displays significantly higher form and quality this season. The visitors have a 50% win rate away from home and an impressive streak of three consecutive wins in recent matches, while Atlético San Luis performs catastrophically at home with only 11% wins and 78% losses in home matches. The difference in Expected Goals is clear – Guadalajara averages 1.54 xG away compared to just 0.98 xG for the hosts at home. Additionally, the visitors boast significantly better possession (54% vs 45%) and higher shooting accuracy. The form in the last five matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Atlético San Luis's goal difference in home matches is -6, confirming their struggles in front of their own fans.
Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético San Luis played Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Atlético San Luis: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Guadalajara: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético San Luis scores 1.45 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.64 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético San Luis 65%, Guadalajara 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético San Luis 55%, Guadalajara 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.26. Atlético San Luis: 11.1 shots per match, Guadalajara: 14.7.
Match halves
Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Guadalajara: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Atlético San Luis: 61-75 (11 goals). Guadalajara: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guadalajara displays significantly higher form and quality this season. The visitors have a 50% win rate away from home and an impressive streak of three consecutive wins in recent matches, while Atlético San Luis performs catastrophically at home with only 11% wins and 78% losses in home matches. The difference in Expected Goals is clear – Guadalajara averages 1.54 xG away compared to just 0.98 xG for the hosts at home. Additionally, the visitors boast significantly better possession (54% vs 45%) and higher shooting accuracy. The form in the last five matches also favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Atlético San Luis's goal difference in home matches is -6, confirming their struggles in front of their own fans.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético San Luis | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guadalajara is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 2 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.64 goals / match - Guadalajara
Guadalajara is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.18 goals / match - Guadalajara
Atlético San Luis scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.55 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético San Luis
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético San Luis | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.05 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético San Luis 0 - 0 - 1 Guadalajara. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Atlético San Luis 2:3 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara?
Atlético San Luis score 1.45 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.64. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Atlético San Luis's matches and 50% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Atlético San Luis and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético San Luis have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Guadalajara 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético San Luis vs Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.