Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán: match statistics
The match promises to be a very evenly contested clash between two teams in poor form. Atlético San Luis has a catastrophic home record with just 17% wins and as many as 75% losses, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Mazatlán performs even worse on the road, winning only 8% of matches and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. Both teams have a negative goal difference, with the visitors conceding more goals (differential -9 vs -5). The form of both squads in the last five matches is unstable, though Mazatlán is earning slightly more points (1.4 vs 0.6 PPG). Given the weaknesses on both sides, the high frequency of draws in their history, and similar xG statistics, the most probable scenario appears to be a draw or a win for the hosts by a minimal margin due to the home advantage.
Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético San Luis played Mazatlán in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Atlético San Luis: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mazatlán: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético San Luis scores 1.48 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Mazatlán scores 1.12 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético San Luis 64%, Mazatlán 72%. Over 2.5: Atlético San Luis 60%, Mazatlán 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético San Luis has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.10. Atlético San Luis: 10.5 shots per match, Mazatlán: 9.6.
Match halves
Atlético San Luis: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.96. Mazatlán: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Atlético San Luis: 61-75 (11 goals). Mazatlán: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a very evenly contested clash between two teams in poor form. Atlético San Luis has a catastrophic home record with just 17% wins and as many as 75% losses, making them one of the weakest hosts in the league. Mazatlán performs even worse on the road, winning only 8% of matches and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. Both teams have a negative goal difference, with the visitors conceding more goals (differential -9 vs -5). The form of both squads in the last five matches is unstable, though Mazatlán is earning slightly more points (1.4 vs 0.6 PPG). Given the weaknesses on both sides, the high frequency of draws in their history, and similar xG statistics, the most probable scenario appears to be a draw or a win for the hosts by a minimal margin due to the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético San Luis | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mazatlán is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.4 pts / match - Mazatlán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético San Luis is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Atlético San Luis · 1.12 goals / match - Mazatlán
Atlético San Luis scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Mazatlán scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético San Luis
Over / Under - Mazatlán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético San Luis is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Atlético San Luis · 0.84 pts / match - Mazatlán
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético San Luis
Mazatlán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético San Luis | Liga | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.92 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético San Luis 0 - 0 - 1 Mazatlán. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán?
The Liga MX match finished Atlético San Luis 4:1 Mazatlán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Atlético San Luis score 1.48 goals per game on average and Mazatlán 1.12. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Atlético San Luis's matches and 72% of Mazatlán's.
What form are Atlético San Luis and Mazatlán in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético San Luis have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mazatlán 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán?
The statistical background for Atlético San Luis vs Mazatlán — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.